Her Majesty’s Plate Tip Prediction [04/09/2020] | Betting Gods
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Her Majesty’s Plate Tip Prediction [04/09/2020] <

Her Majesty’s Plate Tip Prediction [04/09/2020]

Prediction

Our Tip for 14:35 Down Royal

Barbados

1pt Win @ Betfair SP Betfair Exchange

Analysis

The 2020 Her Majesty’s Plate takes place over 1 mile and 6 furlongs at Down Royal Racecourse on Friday 4 September. Nine runners are set to go to post for this Listed race, but one horse stands out as a cracking bet.

Five of the runners appear to simply be making up the numbers. Grand D’Espagne has no made impression in two maidens this season, while the same owner’s Aircraft Carrier looks regressive having gone 16 races since winning at Wolverhampton in January 2019.

Effernock Fizz is up 4lb for winning last time, but she’s still only rated 77. That’s just 3lb lower than Latoyah Of North who has won just one of her 18 races. Snegurochka ran in six bumpers before being tried on the flat and she shouldn’t be winning this after running on late to be fourth over two miles when last seen.

That leaves us with just four horses that are rated over 100. The 4-year-old Rakan has raced just seven times, with the second of his two wins coming over 12-furlongs last season. He’s run okay twice over 10-furlongs this season, but he’ll need to find some improvement for running over 14-furlongs for the first time.

Sea The Lion has done most of his winning in handicaps off marks up to 93. He was raised to 100+ after his last win but hasn’t troubled the judge since. After finishing in midfield in Group 3 races on his last two runs, he could hit the places this time, but has lots of ground to make up with Master Of Reality on their running behind Delph.

Master Of Reality was dropped 2lb for that run and, though he has an obvious favourite’s chance to win this race, he’s now rated 7lb lower than when fourth in last year’s Melbourne Cup. Winning this race would probably cause his mark to go up and connections may just be using this as a prep race before heading back down under.

Barbados is our Her Majesty’s Plate tip 2020. Jessica Harrington’s runner officially has 5lb to find with Master Of Reality but he was only beaten 2 ½ lengths by Twilight Payment when last seen over this trip. By contrast, Master Of Reality has finished behind Twilight Payment three times, beaten 5, 8, and 11 lengths. That makes Barbados looks a cracking bet.



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