The 2020 Great St. Wilfrid takes place at Ripon on Sunday 16 August. This class 2 handicap is run over 6-furlongs and it has attracted a field of 20 runners.
The first thing to note about past renewals is the bias towards runners drawn high. Just one winner since 2001 has been drawn lower than stall-8, with only three winners drawn in single-figure stalls. Those drawn in single figure stalls this year are Typhoon Tea, Deputise, Hyperfocus, Gunmetal, I Am A Dreamer, Abel Handy, Royal Rendezvous, Highly Sprung, and Thegreatestshowman.
Abata looks the unlikeliest winner of the rest as he’s only won in class 4 and above, while Citron Major also looks outclassed.
Motagally and Watchable are others that have been doing their recent winning in poorer races than class 2.
Golden Appollo looks a little high in the weights to be winning this, while Mr Lupton continues to plummet in the weights but doesn’t look like returning to winning form anytime soon.
Kimifive and Brian The Snail bring some of the best recent form into this race after finishing second and third in the Steward’s Cup. Both were drawn next to the opposite rails on that occasion and that is often the place to be at Goodwood. Brian The Snail could be the better drawn of the two here but may need a bit of luck in running.
Dakota Gold won last year’s race carrying 9-7 but, while he only has 9-10 to carry, he’s 9lb higher in the ratings. He has a touch of class, but others look better handicapped.
George Bowen is potentially the best-handicapped horse in the field on a mark of 86, as he’s won off marks of high as 100. But after running well when second at Ponterfract earlier in the season, he’s run poorly since. He’s also run four times at Ripon, twice in this race off higher marks, and has yet to finish in the places.
Staxton is our tip for the Great St. Wilfrid Handicap. The handicapper has put him up 4lb for winning over course and distance last time, but he deserves that after coming a couple of lengths clear on his side of the track. He’s now on a mark of 88 but has won off 95 and 99 and is 19lb better off with Dakota Gold after finishing fifth behind that rival last year.
29/11/2020 | NFL
1pt Win @ 2.80 William Hill, SportPesa
29/11/2020 | NFL
New Orleans Saints
1pt Win @ 1.40 Betfred, Paddy Power
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