Glorious Stakes Prediction [31/07/2020] | Betting Gods
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Glorious Stakes Prediction [31/07/2020] <

Glorious Stakes Prediction [31/07/2020]

Prediction

Our Tip for 15:45 Goodwood

Communique

1pt Win @ 3.00 SkyBet, SportPesa

Analysis

The 2020 Glorious Stakes is one of several interesting supporting races on the fourth day of the 2020 Qatar Goodwood Festival. This Group 3 is run over 1 mile 3 furlongs and 218 yards and it has attracted a field of seven runners, including the 2019 winner Desert Encounter.

Le Don De Vie looks the weakest of the challengers off a mark of 101. He’s a course winner, but that victory came in a winnable four-runner handicap off a mark of 96. He’s also been beaten twice at the course in worse races than this.

Pablo Escobarr is another course winner, but that victory came in a maiden over 10-furlongs. He’s been performing with credit over 12-furlongs of late, but several form-lines suggest he has a bit to find on his return to Goodwood.

Thundering Blue performed acceptably on his only previous visit to Goodwood when behind Elarqam in a Listed Race. However, he was beaten behind last year’s winner Desert Encounter in Canada when they met and looks to have regressed since.

Spirit Of Appin is another course winner, though that came in a handicap off a mark of just 90. But she has shown a few bits of decent form since that suggests she has more of a chance than ratings imply. She may outrun her odds but it’s still hard to see her beating the principals.

Alounak was 25/1 when beaten five-lengths by Desert Encounter (13/8 favourite) in Canada last year and it’s hard to see why they’re so close in the betting here. Ratings suggest there isn’t much between them but Alounak’s best run since coming to England was when ridden by Oisin Murphy, and he’s been poor in two runs for Silvestre De Sousa.

Desert Encounter again finished over three-lengths in front of Alounak at Newmarket last time and proved he likes the course by winning the race last year. But he finished behind another Goodwood winner last time and may struggle to reverse the form with the Simcock stable struggling for winners.

Mark Johnston isn’t struggling for winners, which is why Communique is our Glorious Stakes Tip 2020. He finished over a length in front of Desert Encounter when they last met and, as a Glorious Goodwood winner in 2018 on his only previous run at the course, he’s fancied to confirm the form on identical terms.



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