Geoffrey Freer Stakes Prediction [15/08/2020] | Betting Gods
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Geoffrey Freer Stakes Prediction [15/08/2020] <

Geoffrey Freer Stakes Prediction [15/08/2020]

Prediction

Our Tip for 15:00 Newbury

Max Vega

1pt Each Way @ 17.00 Bet365, William Hill

Analysis

The 2020 Geoffrey Freer Stakes is a Group 3 race run over 1 mile 5 furlongs and 61 yards. It is one of the highlights of this Saturday’s card at Newbury (August 15). A field of eight runners are set to go to post and there’s the prospect of rain in the build-up to the race.

Almania hasn’t won any of his last eight races and he looks up against it after being beaten in a handicap off a mark of 99 last time. First-time blinkers go on, but they’ll have to bring about significant improvement.

Tritonic is another that needs to improve to trouble the best of these on official ratings. Despite that, this course winner has run two cracking races on his last two starts and he could be one that outruns his market position.

Hukum is closely rated with Tritonic and a line through a horse called Subjectivist suggests there shouldn’t be too much between them. But Hukum has more potential to improve further having had just three career starts.

Communique has frustrated connections this season with a couple of near misses, but this dual course winner ran below expectations at Goodwood last time and has had a tough campaign.

Sir Michael Stoute saddles both Sextant and Alignak. The latter went up 12lb for finishing second in a Listed race last time, but this contest looks stronger, while the booking of Oisin Murphy may not mean he’s the stable’s number one.

Louis Steward normally rides Sextant when Ryan Moore is unavailable, and he’s won on three of his four rides on him. But Sextant prefers good ground and was beaten last year in this race on soft. He also finished behind the re-opposing Morando on soft ground when the pair met in October.

Course and distance winner Morando has obvious claims after finishing second in this race last season. Any further softening of the ground will aid his cause and he has an obvious favourite’s chance.

At a much bigger price, Max Vega gets the nod as our Geoffrey Freer Stakes tip. He’s not been shown in his best light in a Derby trial and the Derby this season, but his win in the 2019 Zetland Stakes on soft ground marked him down as a horse that would relish this sort of trip this season and he looks a value bet at the odds.



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