The 2010 Ebor Handicap is the highlight of the 2020 Yorkshire Ebor Festival and it takes place on Saturday 22 August over 1 mile 5 furlongs and 188 yards at York Racecourse.
24-runners is a daunting number to whittle down but there are several strong trends that could help us find the winner. The first is the draw, with 12 of the last 14 winners coming from a double-figure stall. Using that trend, we can discard Communique, Trueshan, Pondus, True Self, King’s Advice, Euchen Glen, Dash Of Spice, and Hochfield.
The last six winners have also been rated over 100, suggesting that Island Brave, Jeremih, and Glencadam Glory may not have the required class. 11 of the last 14 winners have also been aged 5 or 6, suggesting Stargazer and Verdana Blue may struggle to beat the younger horses.
Deja has been impressive on soft ground on more than one occasion but a mark of 112 may prove beyond him after the handicapper raised him 7lb for his last win. Ghostwatch is a course and distance off a mark of 92 and has won off a higher mark of 101. But he’s on a mark of 106 this time and has been beaten three times off around this mark already.
Alright Sunshine is another that has performed with credit off his current mark but he’s done his winning off lower marks. The same comments also apply to Scarlet Dragon. Shailene ran well last time when second but the handicapper has done him no favourites raising him 3lb in a better race.
El Misk has looked more of force on the all-weather and is hard to fancy on the form of his last two runs on turf. Ranch Hand has run okay on all three starts this season but doesn’t look well-handicapped on those efforts.
Monica Sherriff must be respected after winning five consecutive races, especially as her last win came in a Group 2. Buts he’s impressed most on heavy ground and could find this classy handicap a totally different ball game.
Pablo Escobarr is also respected after winning a Group 3 last time, but this big field is also a new experience for him.
Fujaira Prince is our Ebor Handicap tip. This easy Royal Ascot winner has been kept for this race after that success and he relished the trip that day. A close second over a shorter trip on his only previous visit to York, he’s fancied to collect for in-form connections.
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Over 2.5 Goals
1pt Win @ 2.05 BetVictor, BoyleSports
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