Sunday’s Chelsea vs Wolves match could end with one team being disappointed. Chelsea need at least a draw to make sure they’re playing Champions League football next season. Meanwhile, Wolves need a win to stay ahead of Tottenham in the race for a Europa League spot though, ironically, both Wolves and Spurs will qualify if Chelsea beat Arsenal in the FA Cup Final.
It’s difficult to know how Chelsea’s games are going to go, with a 3-0 win over Manchester United followed by a 5-3 defeat by Liverpool being perfect examples. What both those games had in common are lots of goals and there could be plenty more here with so much at stake. That means our Chelsea vs Wolves tip is over 2.5 goals at a touch of odds-on.
Wolves don’t mind trying to win tactically tight games, and there have been less than 2.5 goals in three of their last four games. But they came against the defence-minded Crystal Palace, Burnley, and Sheffield United, and Chelsea’s normal attacking tactics should leave more room for the Wolves strikers to exploit.
Chelsea did struggle to beat Norwich 1-0, when the pressure was on, but five of their last six games have produced more than 2.5 goals. Those games have produced a mixed bag of results, with 3-0 and 3-2 wins over Watford and Crystal Palace and a 3-0 defeat by Sheffield United, as well as those already mentioned results against Liverpool and Manchester United.
Recent head-to-heads between Chelsea and Wolves also suggest that the odds of there being more than 2.5 goals should be lower, with four of the last five games between the two sides producing at least three goals. The only match between the current managers this season also saw Chelsea win 5-2 at Molineux – and that all makes a good case for backing more than 2.5 goals.
28/09/2020 | Football - Premier League
Both Teams To Score (Yes)
1pt Win @ 1.68 Unibet, Betway
27/09/2020 | Horse Racing
2pt Win @ 1.83 Bet365, William Hill
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