Belgium vs Iceland is one of Tuesday night’s (September 8) second round of Nations League matches. Belgium took control of Group A2 with a 2-0 win in Denmark, while Iceland lost 1-0 to the Belgian’s main market rivals England.
Belgium are just 2/11 (1.22) to press home that advantage with a home win over Iceland, with the draw at 13/2 and an Iceland win at 20/1. Belgium will find their way into plenty of Nations League accas but they’re a bit short for a single. So, with Belgium strongly fancied to win and having already kept a clean sheet against Denmark, our tip for Belgium vs Iceland is Belgium to win to nil.
Winning to nil at home has been a strong statistic for Belgium during the last couple of seasons, keeping clean sheets in victories over Kazakhstan, Scotland, and San Marino.
Cyprus are the only team to have scored a goal on their travels to Belgium in that time, with Belgium going on to win that match 6-1. But while Cyprus try and play attacking football, Iceland set-up to defend first and counterattack second.
But it’s not a tactic that has paid off against the better teams that Iceland have played over the last couple of seasons. France beat Iceland to nil twice last season, while Iceland also lost three of their four matches in the last Nations League group stages to nil. Two of those matches were also against Belgium, who won 2-0 at home and 3-0 away.
If you’re looking for an odds-against bet, backing Belgium to win 2-0 at 9/2 (5.50) and 3-0 at 5/1 (6.00) looks a reasonable punt considering their last two matches against Iceland produced those score-lines. There’s also an argument that Belgium will be keen to score more goals than England did against Iceland in a group that could be settled on goal difference.
But Belgium could just as easily win 1-0, while they’ve also fired nine past San Marino recently. That’s why we’ll stick to Belgium to win to nil as our Belgium vs Iceland tip.
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