Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid is the highlight of La Liga’s Tuesday night games (June 30). Atletico’s dreams of winning the title may be over but they could still have a massive say in who becomes this season’s champions, with Barcelona holding just a two-point advantage over second-place Real Madrid.
Real Madrid will certainly be hoping that Atletico can do them a favour and that’s not beyond the realm of possibilities after Atletico beat Barcelona 3-2 in the Super Cup in January. But despite that result, it could be worth concentrating on past result between the two teams, which suggest the best bet for Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid is for there to be less than 2.5 goals.
Atletico’s 3-2 Super Cup win was out of character for matches between these two giants of Spanish football, and it’s worth noting the game was 0-0 at half-time. Atletico took the lead a minute into the second half before Barcelona struck back with two quick goals. Atletico were then forced to abandon their defensive tendencies, which paid off as they scored two late goals.
We all know Barcelona take part in lots of high-scoring games, but three of their last four La Liga games have produced less than 2.5 goals. Three of Atletico’s post-lockdown games have also produced that result.
But what really makes less than 2.5 goals look a great value bet is that six of the last seven matches between the two sides in La Liga have produced less than 2.5 goals. That stat is even stronger when you consider the last four matches in all competitions between them at the Nous Camp have also produced 2 goals or fewer.
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New Orleans Saints
1pt Win @ 1.40 Betfred, Paddy Power
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Las Vegas Raiders
1pt Win @ 1.65 Betfair Sportsbook, Paddy Power
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