18:15 Windsor Prediction [03/08/2020] | Betting Gods
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18:15 Windsor Prediction [03/08/2020] <

18:15 Windsor Prediction [03/08/2020]

Prediction

Our Tip for 18:15 Windsor

Spoof

1pt Win @ 8.00 Betfred, Paddy Power

Analysis

The 2020 Visit Attheraces Handicap is the highlight of Windsor’s horse meeting on Monday 3 August. This class 3 race over 5-furlongs features just six runners, but it’s an open race with 14lb between the top and bottom rated horses on the card.

Top Breeze is the top-weight on a mark of 90. That means he’s back down to his last winning mark, but it’s worrying that three of his four wins have come on the all-weather, while his one turf win came at 6-furlongs. He may find 5-furlongs at Windsor happening a bit quick for him, though he was runner-up on his one previous course and distance start.

Daschas has won one of his three course-and-distance runs and was placed in another, but those wins came off much lower marks. He remains 3lb above his last winning mark and doesn’t have the services of the 7lb claimer he had that day. Oisin Murphy isn’t a bad substitute but he’s been beaten four times out of five on him.

Wild Edric could do with some assistance from the handicapper having gone seven runs without a win. he remains 9lb above his last winning mark and, though he’s been placed a few times since, those runs have come in a lower class. He also has no experience of Windsor and is 0 from 4 at 5-furlongs.

Just Glamorous defied a mark of 75 in a class 5 two starts ago but struggled when upped in class off today’s mark of 80 last time. It’s a while since he’s been competitive at this level, including when beaten three times over course and distance last season.

The 3-year-old Wonderwork has a favourite’s chance as he’s only had six runs and won two starts ago off a mark of 80. He then finished a neck second off 83 and a mark of 86 looks fair for this improving type. The possible negative is he’s swapped stables since last seen a month ago and it’s hard to know whether he’ll have adapted to his new surroundings.

Spoof is our tip (18.15 Windsor). The Charlie Hills-trained 5-year-old won off a mark of 95 two years ago and, though he’s been beaten 18 times off regressive marks since, the handicapper has dropped him to 76. Charlie Hills fits first-time blinkers, and this looks the time to chance this once classy sort.



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