18:15 Naas Prediction [22/07/2020] | Betting Gods
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18:15 Naas Prediction [22/07/2020] <

18:15 Naas Prediction [22/07/2020]

Prediction

Our Tip for 18:15 Naas

Millisle

1pt Win @ 2.75 William Hill

Analysis

The 2020 Yeomanstown Stud Ballyogan Stakes takes place at Naas Racecourse on Wednesday 22 July. This Group 3 race has attracted 10 runners but the 111-rated Millisle is fancied to see off her opposition.

Five of the runners are currently rated less than 100, with Lynn Brit Cabin, Pronouncement, and Precious Moments seemingly exposed as below this class. It’s also a big ask for Laurel Wreath, though she did win the third of her three runs and has further improvement to come. Sunday Sweet also needs to find some improvement and a first-time tongue-tie may provide it.

Back To Brussels outran her 80/1 odds when second in a Listed race last time, for which the handicapper raised her 16lb. But it’s worth noting she had finished last twice in Group 3 races before that.

Joseph O’Brien saddles both Unforgettable and Lady Penelope. The latter finished behind Back To Brussels on her last run but had previously beaten her stablemate here at Naas. Both pieces of form suggest they have something to find with the two highest-rated horses.

Forever In Dreams is the only four-year-old in the line-up. She ran well to be second beaten a neck in a Group 2 last time and has won twice and been placed three times from six runs at similar distances. However, she finished unplaced on her only previous run at Naas and doesn’t look as well-drawn as her main market rival.

Millisle is our Yeomanstown Stud Ballyogan Stakes tip. A Group 1 winning filly as a two-year-old, she has reverted to sprinting after not appearing to stay a mile in the 1,000 Guineas. She finished fifth in the Commonwealth Cup at Royal Ascot and followed that by finishing second to another Royal Ascot winner Art Power last time, and he could be a top-class sprinter in the making.

With four of the last five winners of this race drawn in stall-6 or higher, Millisle also looks to be better drawn than her main rival drawn in stall-5.



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