17:30 Uttoxeter Prediction [08/08/2020] | Betting Gods
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17:30 Uttoxeter Prediction [08/08/2020] <

17:30 Uttoxeter Prediction [08/08/2020]

Prediction

Our Tip for 17:30 Uttoxeter

Pacify

1pt Win @ SP

Analysis

The Final Furlong Podcast Novices’ Chase is one of the highlights on Uttoxeter’s evening meeting on Saturday 8 August. This class-3 novice chase takes place over 1 mile 7 furlongs and 214 yards and features just five runners who should be regulars over fences in the remainder of the summer jumps season.

Stand By Me looks the only one of the five horses without an obvious chance. His two wins have come in a bumper and when winning a handicap hurdle off a mark of 80. That leaves him with plenty to find on ratings and, as he’s the oldest runner in the field at 10, he has less room for improvement that his rivals.

Leapaway won five handicap hurdles in 2018, with the last of those wins coming off a mark of 137. He ran poorly on his only two runs in 2019 and hasn’t looked a natural in two starts over fences this year. He might not win over the larger obstacles until running in a handicap.

Timetochill is an interesting recruit to chasing, as the mare was rated 134 over hurdles and gets plenty of weight from the geldings in this race. But her small stable hasn’t had a winner since January, and you must take a chance that she’ll be a natural over fences on her first attempt.

Longhouse Hall sets the standard on his win first time over fences at Stratford and he was backed from 6/1 into 10/3 that day. A prolific winner of bumpers and over hurdles, it will be no surprise if he wins plenty of races over fences. But he must concede 6lb to a horse that thrashed him over hurdles off level-weights when they last met.

Pacify is our tip for the 17.30 at Uttoxeter. This 142-rated hurdler won five races last season before losing his unbeaten record over jumps when trying to concede 5lb to a useful sort. That included beating Longhouse Hall by 18-lengths off level weights at Kempton. He disappointed on his last run, but he didn’t stay the 2½ mile trip in the heat of the battle against subsequent Supreme Novice Hurdle winner, Siskin. Pacify isn’t bred to be a chaser, but he has plenty of size and scope for this new discipline, and his young trainer Jamie Snowdon is normally very good at finding winnable opportunities for his better horses.



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