16:55 Leopardstown Prediction [01/07/2020] | Betting Gods
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16:55 Leopardstown Prediction [01/07/2020] <

16:55 Leopardstown Prediction [01/07/2020]

Prediction

Our Tip for 16:55 Leopardstown

Ridenza

1pt Each-Way @ 9.50 William Hill, Unibet

Analysis

Nine runners have been declared for Wednesday’s 2020 Derrinstown Stud Fillies Stakes at Leopardstown, a group 3 race run over a mile.

It’s easy to see Aidan O’Brien’s 108-rated So Wonderful being sent-off a short-priced favourite after being placed multiple times in better races than this. She has every right to win, but she’s now a 10-race maiden and she’s blown easier chances than this.

Aidan O’Brien’s other runner Tango has won two races in her career so far, but she’s run below expectations in two runs this season. That includes when well-beaten behind another of today’s runners Know It All.

Johnny The Johnny Murtagh-trained filly Know It All ran on well to be second that day over 7-furlongs, looking like she’ll be suited by today’s step-up to a mile. But she also doesn’t look unbeatable after the horse she beat into third by a neck that day was beaten over 3-lengths back in a Listed race next time.

Faire Croire has a lot to find on a line through a filly called Love Rocket that beat her on debut, but she did win last time.

Schroeder’s Mistake has also finished behind Love Rocket in the past, as well as Tango. Celestial Object is yet another that’s been beaten by Love Locket, and it will be disappointed if any of this trio prove good enough.

Amma Grace is a course and distance winner who steps back in trip after not staying 10-furlongs last time, and the horse she beat over C&D ran in a Group 1 on Sunday. However, despite being well-backed, that horse finished last.

Apricot Moon is interesting, despite being sent-off at 20/1 and 125/1 in her two races so far. She won on the all-weather at Dundalk on debut and the runner-up has won twice since. She also finished seventh in the Irish 1,000 Guineas but started slowly that day before finishing in mid-division. She’s not without a chance if she starts better.

Our Derrinstown Stud Fillies Stakes tip is Ridenza. She’s won her only race so far and, while the second has been trounced on a couple of occasions since, she won easily in the style of a filly that could go on to achieve much better things. She’s also beautifully bred and looks the each-way play.



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