16:45 Curragh Prediction [28/06/2020] | Betting Gods
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16:45 Curragh Prediction [28/06/2020] <

16:45 Curragh Prediction [28/06/2020]

Prediction

Our Tip for 16:45 Curragh

Cayenne Pepper

1pt Win @ 7.50 SportPesa, BetVictor

Analysis

The 2020 Pretty Polly Stakes takes place at the Curragh 16.45, Sunday 28 June. It is a group one race for fillies and mares over 10-furlongs and the winner picks-up a tasty €120,000. Just five runners are set to go to post this year, with the high-class 5-year-old Magical trying to give Aidan O’Brien a fourth win in the last 10 years.

She’s joined by stablemate Fleeting and the 7-year-old True Self, with those three having to concede a 12lb weight-for-age allowance to the 3-year-olds Cayenne Pepper and Roca Roma.

The connections of Roca Roma have found a great opportunity to pick-up some generous fifth-place prize money, but we can only hope the 63-rated filly doesn’t get in the way of the main protagonists – let alone pull-off what would be one of the shocks of the season.

True Self has won over 10-furlongs on soft ground, but she normally races over further. The ground is forecast to be good, and she should find the other protagonists too speedy unless plenty of rain arrives.

Fleeting also prefers racing over a longer distance, and she’ll probably be seen to better effect when racing over 12-furlongs. She did finish runner-up over this trip last time but was out-speeded by the 10-furlong specialist in the field.

Magical can also be classed as a 10-furlong specialist after winning 5 of her 7 starts over the distance, while her two defeats came when runner-up to the high-class pair Enable and Crystal Ocean. A win for her wouldn’t be a shock, but Seamie Heffernan hasn’t ridden her before and she’s lost on two of her three seasonal debuts.

It’s also noticeable that Aidan O’Brien’s four winners of this race have all been 3-year-olds and that could be because the older horses have to concede a tough-looking 12lb to the 3-year-olds, which could prove a difficult task first time up.

Cayenne Pepper is our tip for the Pretty Polly Stakes 2020, as she won all three of her starts in Ireland last season. She was also fourth in the Group 1 Fillies Mile in England, when finishing just behind the English 1,000 Guineas winner Love. She’s also bred to relish today’s step-up to 10-furlongs and, if she improves for it, she has every chance of beating the favourite in receipt of 12lb.



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