14:55 Goodwood Prediction [23/09/2020] | Betting Gods
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14:55 Goodwood Prediction [23/09/2020] <

14:55 Goodwood Prediction [23/09/2020]

Prediction

Our Tip for 14:55 Goodwood

Anna Nerium

1pt Each Way @ 11.00 Bet365

Analysis

The 2020 Foundation Stakes takes place at Goodwood Racecourse on Wednesday 23 September. It is a Listed race over 1 mile 1 furlong and 197 yards and it has attracted a field of eight runners.

Only 8lbs separates the eight horses on official ratings and the highest-rated runner is last year’s winner Air Pilot. The remarkable 11-year-old defending his crown would be a great story but, with little or no rain forecast at Goodwood, he’s not going to get the heavy ground he won on last year and has relished throughout his career.

Mythical Magic is rated just 1lb off the top, but this trip is an unknown for the Charlie Appleby runner. He looked to run out of stamina over it on his first attempt though, admittedly, that was against the top-class Logician.

Desert Icon last won a handicap off 96 but he’s been far from disgraced in top-class handicaps off marks in the 100s since. A first-time tongue-tie could be the aid that transforms into a Listed race winner.

Oriental Mystique was only rated 80 when finishing runner-up in a five-runner Group 3 on her seasonal debut but is hard to recommend on her last performance, when she finished last. Thundering Blue also finished last on his last run and hasn’t been near his best for a while. This does look a drop-in-class though and any money for him would be interesting.

High End must be held in high regard by his trainer Saeed Bin Suroor, who has won this race several times before. High End won three times in 2017 and ran a remarkable race to be second in a good handicap after three years off the track. He could easily be up to this class if he doesn’t bounce on his second run back after a lengthy break.

Bullfinch won his handicap last time and is improving rapidly. But that improvement has come on the all-weather and there’s no guarantee he’ll match it returned to turf.

Anna Nerium is our Foundation Stakes tip. She disappointed at York last time but had run with great credit at Salisbury previously. But it’s her record at Goodwood that makes her interesting as she boasts a win over Dream Of Dreams here. She hasn’t tried this far before, but she’s bred to get it, and she looks a value bet in an open race.



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