14:40 Haydock Prediction [05/07/2020] | Betting Gods
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14:40 Haydock Prediction [05/07/2020] <

14:40 Haydock Prediction [05/07/2020]

Prediction

Our Tip for 14:40 Haydock

Cabaletta

1pt win @ 6.00 Bet365, SportPesa

Analysis:

The 2020 Lancashire Oaks takes place on Sunday 5 July over 1 mile 3 furlongs and 175 yards at Haydock. The race has been dominated by John Gosden over the last decade but, as he doesn’t have a runner this year, it is Ralph Beckett who poses punters the biggest puzzle by saddling three potential runners.

Hereby is the lowest rated of the Beckett trio on 96 but she completed a four-timer when last seen in October. That win came in a Listed Race over 1 mile 6 furlongs in soft ground, and that proven stamina could be an asset if the ground gets any heavier than soft.

The 107-rated Antonio De Vega also won a Listed Race last time over a similar trip to this race at Pontefract, and the booking of Harry Bentley suggests he may be the number one.

Manuela De Vega is the joint top-rated horse on 110 and, rather than Harry Bentley having the choice, it may be that Rob Hornby keeps the ride after winning on her over course and distance last time. That form looks especially good, as she beat subsequent Royal Ascot winner Fanny Logan.

Dame Malliot is the other top-rated horse in the line-up but she’ll need to become only the third horse in the last 11 years to win this on her seasonal debut. That comment also applies to the 105-rated Star Of Appin. The 92-rated Makawee also shouldn’t be winning.

Despite the obvious chances of the Beckett horses, our Lancashire Oaks tip is Cabaletta. As the only 3-year-old in the field, she gets a useful 12lb from her elders. She was only second on her seasonal debut, but that was behind a useful looking type from the John Gosden yard called Franconia, and she looks sure to be suited by stepping up in distance. What looks even more relevant is she beat the even more useful Frankly Darling on her racecourse debut and that win came on heavy ground.

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