You’ll be glad to know I won’t be tipping horses that are priced up at even money often (odds just changed) in fact very rarely but according to my speed performance figures, this is the third fastest juvenile seen over this trip so far in the UK, the other two horses are based in Ireland and they are not taking part, the only concern would be switching from his impressive win at Doncaster to Newbury but both those tracks over this distance are on the straight track and galloping in nature, so in essence it shouldn’t be a hindrance. I equate his overall time performance in relation to the two older horses who won separate divisions for the first two races over sprint distances on the same day and have factored in the weight for age allowance at this time of the year over sprint distances as to what he actually achieved and what his split sectionals tells us he actually achieved as oppose to be taken into the hype from a visual perspective and with the second going very close last time out in group two company at a big price you’d like to think this one as his price suggest would go well contesting only a listed event. A performance figure of 98 which he recorded on his debut would win a group event for juveniles 68. 42% of the time and this increases to 82.37% of the time when contesting listed races, so despite prohibitive price of evens representing a 50% chance at the time of writing still retains value over the long term using large data sets over the last 19 years in such circumstances.
01/10/2020 | Football - EFL Cup
Over 3.5 Goals
1pt Win @ 2.63 Unibet, 888Sport
01/10/2020 | Basketball - NBA
1pt Win @ 2.75 William Hill, Unibet
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