13:55 Ascot Prediction [03/10/2020] | Betting Gods
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13:55 Ascot Prediction [03/10/2020] <

13:55 Ascot Prediction [03/10/2020]

Prediction

Our Tip for 13:55 Ascot

Aljady

1pt Each Way @ 8.50 Bet365, SkyBet

Analysis

The 2020 Rous Stakes takes place on Saturday 3 October. It is a Listed race run over 5 furlongs at Ascot, where it is part of the Autumn Racing Weekend. This year’s edition has attracted 14 entries, though several of the runners don’t look up to winning a race of this quality.

Makanah, Al Raya, Last Empire, Maystar, Peggy Sue, Hareem Queen, and Star In The Making all look up against it on ratings and various collateral form-lines. Glamorous Anna also has a few pounds to find, though this improving sort would have been considered more of a threat if the ground was forecast to be good or faster, but it’s much more likely to be soft if the weather forecast is correct.

Tarboosh was a decent winner at Doncaster last time but, he’s always run well at that track. This is his first run at Ascot but he’s inconsistent. Moss Gill would have to have a chance on his third in the Nunthorpe Stakes but that was a strange race and he performed poorly behind Tarboosh last time.

Tiz Marvelous has won twice over the course and distance of this race but the big negative for him is the likely soft ground. He was beaten over 3-lengths in last year’s renewal of the Rous Stakes under similar conditions.

Dakota Gold won last year’s Rous Stakes and the 6-year-old is expected to put up a bold defence for trainer Michael Dods who is going for a hat-trick in the race. He did finish behind Tarboosh last time, but that was the best of his three career runs at Doncaster. He also looks nicely drawn for a front-runner in stall-14.

The problem for Dakota Gold could be that Maid In India is another potential front-runner that looks nicely drawn in stall-10 and she looked to be coming back to her best when fourth in Ireland last time in a better race. The booking of Jamie Spencer also suggests connections expect her to run well.

But two trailblazers could set this nicely for Aljady, who is our Rous Stakes tip. He looks nicely drawn in stall-9 to track the pace and his 6-length beating of Arecibo on soft ground gives him the edge over Dakota Gold on the form of last year’s race. He also seemed to relish soft ground that day and Robert Cowell’s 5-year-old is in great form.



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