13:35 Tipperary Prediction [04/10/2020] | Betting Gods
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13:35 Tipperary Prediction [04/10/2020] <

13:35 Tipperary Prediction [04/10/2020]

Prediction

Our Tip for 13:35 Tipperary

Saint Roj

1pt Win @ Betfair SP Betfair Exchange

Analysis

The 2020 Horse and Jockey Hotel Hurdle takes place at Tipperary Racecourse in Ireland on Sunday 4 October. This Grade 3 race has attracted a field of seven entries, and it offers punters a chance to watch the first run of the season of a horse that is fancied to be a serious Champion Hurdle contender come March.

All eight horses carry 11-2 in this race but, with ratings ranging from 131 to 151, not all horses have an equal chance of winning.

The 131-rated 9-year-old Tigris River was rated 150 at his peak but heโ€™s dropped 19lb in the handicap after 20 runs without winning.

It will be disappointing if he breaks that losing run here. Chatam Street Lad won off a mark of just 117 four starts ago and, though heโ€™s run well of higher marks since, a rating of 134 requires others to underperform.

Djingle is rated in the 140s over fences and is better known as a chaser. He could be interesting if transferring that improved back over hurdles, but he may lack the natural speed of some of his rivals.

Beacon Edge is respected after just six runs in which heโ€™s yet to be out of the first four. This lightly raced sort could have improvement to come this year, but he still has 9lb to find with our tip.

Chosen Mate is another who is respected, as he was a big gamble when winning off a mark of 147 over fences at the 2020 Cheltenham Festival. He also showed plenty of speed when winning on the flat last time. But this is a hurdle race and he struggled when last seen over hurdles, when finishing behind some higher and some lower-rated rivals.

Saint Roi is our Tipperary 1.35 tip. The Willie Mullins-trained 5-year-old was an easy winner of the County Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival in March, when he was gambled into favouritism to beat stablemate Aramon by 4ยฝ lengths. He exuded class that day and is fancied to make up into a serious challenger for the Champion Hurdle this season. He also beat a horse called Aramon in the County Hurdle and that horse has won twice since, including beating Chosen Mate out of sight in June.



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