Betting Gods is continuing its support of Nottingham Racecourse on Sunday 11 June, by sponsoring 5 of the 7 races. Therefore, we thought we’d review the races and try and come up with some tips for anyone who’s going, or just betting from home.
13:50 The bettinggods.com Free Racing Tips EBF Maiden Stakes
No Previous Renewals
Relatively cheap un-raced purchase, but jockey Tom Eaves has been riding frequently for the stable recently, and interesting that he rides this one rather than the once-raced Bee Machine, for a stable with a 36% strike-rate here in the last 12 months.
Ran well for a long way on his debut in the Brocklesby, but absent since. Stable going well, but Tom Eaves riding a stablemate creates a doubt about his chances.
The only one of these to have raced twice, and drops in class having tackled class 4 on both starts. The Hannon Stable has an 18% strike-rate here in the last 12 months, and the Hollie Doyle is well worth her 3lb claim.
Another once-raced horse who tacked class 4 last time, but still needs to step forward after finishing 10th of 13 runners.
Possibly better than he showed when finishing last at York on his debut, as he was sent off at 6/1 there. Certainly bred to be a sprinter being by Kyllachy out of a Royal Applause Mare.
One of the more expensive purchases in the field, and interesting that there are lots of 5-furlong winners in his pedigree. Interesting if the money comes.
W G Grace
Ran a decent race when fourth on debut in a similar class race, and many of the trainer’s horses take a significant step forward for their first runs. No surprise if he is in the mix.
Peas On Earth
100/1 when last in a similar race over course and distance on debut, and would be a major surprise if he is to take this.
A typical tricky two-year-old race, in which stakes should be kept to a minimum if you’re having a bet. Bodybuilder has every right to be favourite, and has a decent draw, but I’d much sooner take a chance on the nicely-bred Roman River. Bred to appreciate 5 furlongs, he’s the one to keep any eye on whether he wins today or not.
14:20 The bettinggods.com Betting Tipsters Handicap
Winners have been aged 4 to 11
The draw has had little effect with winners drawn from 1 to 11
SPs ranged from 6/5 to 33/1
Winners carried between 8-3 and 9-13
Winners were rated between 52 and 70
Started life as a national hunt horse, and has a bumper win and 3 hurdle wins on his CV. Performed okay having had his attentions turned to the flat, and interesting now stepped up to the trip over which he won his bumper.
Won twice at Chelmsford over a similar trip in 2015, the second off a 4lb higher mark than he’s off now, but he hasn’t managed to take advantage of his falling handicap mark in similar contests. Has mainly been finishing in midfield of late, despite being ridden by some high-profile jockeys.
Regular here who has won 5 of his 14 course and distance starts, including off higher marks. Warmed up on his seasonal debut with a good run in a higher class, and continued to bely his age (11) with a win on the all-weather in January.
18-race maiden who has placed 7 times on the all-weather, but never on turf. First time visor will have to have a positive effect.
All-weather winner who showed his first worthwhile form of the year last time, and he’s now on a 12lb lower mark than that aforementioned win.
Seemingly unfancied when a 12/1 winner last time under the promising Darren Egan, and now 13lb higher in the weights taking into account a 6lb rise and Egan’s 7lb claim. However, he now has Andrea Atzeni on board for a stable who are 2 from 12 here in the last year.
The 11-year-old Hallstatt loves it at Nottingham, and is on a winning mark, but he has done all his winning on a faster surface. He’ll have plenty of supporters, but the 4-year-old Incus relished similar conditions last time, and can follow-up.
14:55 The bettinggods.com Horse Racing Tips Handicap
Winners have been drawn from stall 2 to stall 11
Winners have carried between 8-7 and 9-7
Winners have been rated between 51 and 64
No winner had won last time out
SPs have ranged from 7/2 to 16/1
On his third trainer already and, as the previous 2 were Hugo Palmer and P.D. Evans, it will be a feather in his new trainer’s cap if he wins this.
Won a nursery in this grade off this mark, which dropping back down to coincides nicely with the stable hitting a hot-streak.
Probably posted his best performance yet when second last time in a class 5 and, though he was put up 2lb by the handicapper there, he has a 7lb claimer on as he drops into class 6.
First time hood and a return to a venue where he’s performed well in the past are extra positives for a horse dropping in class for an inform trainer.
Maiden winner who has done little in handicaps since. Another who drops in class though, and first-time cheek-pieces fitted.
Certainly no superman, but trainer does well here, and last time out performance right up there on form with the best in this line up. Dropping down to the minimum trip is an unknown factor though.
Remains 7lb higher than when successful in this grade in October, and now on his fourth trainer, but did beat Jorvik Prince by 3½ lengths at Redcar, and is only 4lb worse off today. Trainer quiet at moment though, and 0 from 15 here last year.
4lb higher than when winning in this grade on the all-weather, but mainly consistent in a similar grade on turf. First-time cheek-pieces probably need to improve him a few pounds, but expected to be on the premises.
Yet to get his head in front in 7 attempts, and has some ground to make up on Jorvik Prince from when they last met.
Not looked like getting in the winner’s closure so far, and faces another tough task here. Only plus point is that she was second on her only previous visit here, but she was still beaten 5-lengths.
Races from out of the weights, and hard to see why she’ll suddenly make the improvement required to take a hand.
Beat just 7 horses home in 8 races, and first-time blinkers will need to have a miraculous effect.
The fact Sitar’s return to the scene of his best performance coincides with the addition of a hood, and a drop-in-class, is to many factors to overlook his chance in what is a very winnable race for his inform trainer.
15:30 The Merlin Inflatables UK Handicap
All winners were drawn in either stall 7, 8 or 9
Two 4-year-olds, one 5-year-old, two 6-year-olds and one 11-year-old have won
All winners were rated between 82 and 88
Only 2 winners had won last time out
Mick Appleby has trained 2 of the last 4 winners
7-Year-old in the form of his life at present having won his last 2 races, under Lewis Edmunds who is 2 from on him. However, those wins came in class 4 races, and he’s 0 from 10 in class 3 races. Drawn in stall 9.
His win last time continued his love affair with Windsor, though he has also won at Newmarket and Doncaster. Only up 1lb for that last success, and it was in a class 3.
Oh So Sassy
2lb higher than last two wins, which have both come in class 4 races, however has run creditably in some decent class 3 races this season and handicapper has kindly dropped him a few pounds.
Hard horse to catch right, but now finds himself in a lower-class race after some leniency from the handicapper. Sprint king Robert Cowell has given him a break, and interesting to see if he has nursed him back to something like his best. Drawn in stall 7.
Often runs well at this level or even higher, but has had to drop down to class 4 for his last two wins. Chance, but maybe of more interest when he has his sights lowered further.
Paid for winning his first three races, and his mark then dropped from 105 to 77 in an 11-race winless streak. His win last time was only his third race for his current trainer, who excels with sprinters, and no surprise if he takes another step back up the ladder.
Notched up a hat-trick of wins in class 4 and class 5 races earlier in the season, but not disgraced off his new mark in class 3 events since. Each-way claims at least.
Has been running consistently well in class 4 contests this season, and could find extra returned to the scene of one of his victories for trainer Mick Appleby.
Course and distance winner in a lower grade, and has looked too high in the handicap in recent starts. Trainer red-hot though, so no surprise if he puts up a bold show. Drawn in stall 8.
Treaty Of Rome
Progressive on the all-weather recently with win in class 6, 5 and 4 company, but a bit of an unknown factor on turf at this kind of level.
A typically interesting sprint-handicap full of inform and potentially well-handicapped horses, but none appeal more than Elysian Flyer who could take much higher-rank now he’s regained some form and confidence for a trainer who excels with sprinters. Stall 6 isn’t too far away from stalls 7 to 9 but, if that statistic holds-up, then Huntsman’s Choice, Lexington Place and Tumblewind are preferred in that order.
16:05 The Lexus Nottingham Maiden Fillies’ Stakes
Horses have won from stalls 1 to 11
Sir Michael Stoute and Luca Cumani have trained previous winners
SPs have ranged from 1/3 to 20/1
Best Of My Love
Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa on his first two starts, so may be capable of better, but finished too far behind the winner last time to have any faith in here.
Book Of Dust
Not really showed anything in two starts so far that suggests he’ll be winning this. Likely this third run is just about him getting a handicap mark.
Ran okay over 6-furlongs on debut, and then improved on that when stepped up to 7-furlongs last time. Should benefit further from stepping up to a mile here, and should go well for trainer who does well here.
Ran twice on the all-weather as a two-year-old, and bred to appreciate racing on turf. Should handle the ground and, with a first-time hood fitted, she could be primed to go well for a stable hitting top-form at the moment.
Sent off the 3/1 Joint Favourite on debut over 10-furlongs, but finished 7th of 9. May have needed the run, but not sure she wants to step back in trip, and pedigree suggests she’d prefer better ground.
Potential on breeding, but stable not renowned for having first time out winners in these sorts of races.
In form trainer certainly knows how to ready one to win first time out, and this £60,000 purchase certainly looks capable of making a bold show on paper. Interesting if there’s money around for her.
Stable back amongst winners, and this one probably doesn’t need to improve to take a hand.
Decent third on debut over 7-furlongs on firm ground, and enough soft-ground influences in her pedigree to suggest that she could easily take a hand here.
Nicely bred horse who suggested that she may be one for the future when fourth on debut. Step up in trip looks sure to suit though, but stable quiet at the moment, and it doesn’t have the best of records here.
Sasini must have a solid chance for an inform team, but the vote goes to Kitty Boo. She doesn’t have much to find on form, and could really have improved from 2 to 3. Her trainer Luca Cumani has won the race before, and is in great form, whilst the first-time hood suggests connections are hopeful of a big run.
16:35 bettinggods.com Professional Tipsters Handicap
Horses have been drawn in stall 1 to 14
Winners have carried between 9-0 and 9-7
Winners have been rated between 63 and 75
SPs have ranged from 11/4 to 12/1
Seemed to improve for being switched to turf when winning here last time, and could easily take another step forward providing there’s no seriously well-handicapped horses lurking further down the weights.
Proved to be well-handicapped after 3 runs in maidens at big-prices, and has finished first and second since. Raised 5lb for each of those runs though, and vulnerable to something that has yet to show its hand.
Not to lived up to his price-tag in 3 starts in maidens, but that means he’s potentially well-handicapped on his first handicap run. Time will tell.
It’s How We Roll
Showed fair level of form in 5 runs for Charlie Hills, but looked like he could have more to come on his first run for present trainer. Interesting.
Looked better on all-weather on first two starts than he did on turf debut last time, but that was his third run for handicap purposes. Could have improved for a break of over 200 days.
Looks thoroughly exposed after 17 runs, and it will be surprising if a few runners don’t prove better handicapped.
Already won a couple of class 6 all-weather races, but turf form doesn’t look good enough to win this.
Time To Sea
Well-backed when only fifth behind Dragon’s Voice last time, but 7lb better off here, and interesting to see if the money comes for him again.
Second on last two starts, and interesting to see if Phil Makin can get his head in front when Silvestre De Sousa couldn’t last time.
Sent off favourite or second favourite on last three all-weather starts, but ran below those expectations, and also down the field when 16/1 on turf last time.
Finished last of 14 when last running here, and done little since to suggest a win is imminent. First-time cheek-pieces will have to work the miracle.
De Vegas Kid
Fourth in a class 6 last time, but this looks tougher.
Failed to place in three class 5 races so far, and no reason why it should be any different here.
6lb out of the handicap, and achieved little of merit so far.
Also 6lb out of the handicap, but more worrying that he’s failed to beat a horse in 4 starts so far.
It will be no surprise if Jumira Prince takes this on route to better things, but there was plenty of money around for Time To Sea last time, and he could be over-priced now he’s 7lb better off with Dragon’s Voice.
17:10 bettinggods.com Free Horse Racing Tips Handicap
The last 3 winners were drawn in stalls 12, 13 and 14
All winners have been aged either 5 or 6
Winners carried between 8-12 and 9-4
Winners have been rated 52 to 62
SPs have ranged from 15/8 to 9/1
2lb lower than last winning visit to Nottingham, and this is the first time he’s ran in a class-6 since, having won both previous starts in this grade.
Handicapper dropped him 4lb for two below average runs in class-5 races, and may be suited by running on softer ground here, though not yet proven on a soft surface.
Consistent sort in similar class of late, and has also finished runner-up here in a class-5. Likely to go close.
Has won off a much higher mark, but has run poorly here three times since then. Drops to class-6 here though, and not ruled-out entirely.
Trier at the right level, but likely to find some of the horses dropping in class too hot to handle.
Ran better when dropped to this grade last time, and this 3-time course winner has won off much higher marks. However, at the age of 11, he looks vulnerable to younger legs.
Play To The Whistle
Not quite up to this class on most evidence.
Creeping up the weights for decent placed runs for inform stable, and vulnerable to the better class horses.
No wins from 12 runs in this grade, but in decent form recently for this jockey/trainer combination.
Won a class-5 handicap 3 starts ago, but beaten favourite twice since. Today’s apprentice jockey also can’t claim as much as his previous two jockeys.
Hasn’t been cutting it in all-weather handicaps, and needs a return to turf to spark improvement.
3 runs on the all-weather have earned him a lowly handicap mark, and interesting that shrewd connections switch him to turf for his handicap debut.
Connections seem to be starting to get a tune out of this ex-Irish horse, but still likely to be out-gunned here.
Indian Chief looks the nap of the day dropped back down to class-6, in which he’s 2 from 2, now he’s back down to a winning mark. However, a small saver is recommended on Incredible Dream on his turf and handicap debut.