ATP Shenzhen Preview

ATP Shenzhen Preview

September 26, 2016

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The third renewal of the ATP Shenzhen in China is the main focus for tennis betting this week, and 2015 Champion Tomas Berdych returns to defend the title he won in 2015. However, inaugural winner Andy Murray is a no-show for the tournament that ended a 15-month losing run as he recovered from injury in 2014.

Tomas Berdych

World number nine Berdych is the highest-ranked player in the field this week, and one of only three players ranked in the world’s top-20 along with David Goffin and Richard Gasquet. Berdych also tops the betting at 7/2, with Goffin at 11/2, Gasquet 7/1, Alexander Zverev 10/1, Tomic 10/1, Paire 20/1, Fognini 22/1, Vesely 22/1 and Garcia-Lopez 25/1.

First Quarter

Number 1 Seed Berdych looks to have a relatively easy route to the quarter-finals, where he’s seeded to meet number 8 seed Vesely. Berdych won a 5-set thriller when they met at Wimbledon this year and, having also won their only other previous meeting in straight sets at this tournament last year, he is fancied to progress to the semi-finals.

Second Quarter

The second quarter looks trickier, with fourth seed Tomic set to meet last week’s St Petersburg winner Alexander Zverev. The pair haven’t met before, but Tomic hasn’t been in the best of form of late. Therefore, much will depend on Zverev’s mindset after winning his first ATP Tour event, beating both Berdych and Wawrinka to do so.

Third Quarter

Third seed Gasquet leads seventh seed Fognini 2-1 in their head-to-heads, and it’s compelling that he has won both their previous meetings on hardcourts.

Fourth Quarter

Second seed Goffin may be trailing sixth seed Paire 2-1 in their previous encounters, but he did win their only hardcourt match. The Belgian has also been in much better form of late than the Frenchman, and he will be disappointed if he doesn’t make the semi-finals.

Semi-Finals And Final

Rapidly improving teenager Zverev may just be running out of steam by this stage and, even though he defeated Berdych in Russia last week, Berdych may be able to extend his overall 4-1 head-to-head advantage and make it to the final. His opponent is harder to predict though as Gasquet and Goffin have never previously met. The good news is Berdych has won both of his previous hardcourt, matches with Goffin, and 4 of his last 5 matches with Gasquet – making him look the most likely winner this week.

Tip

Back Tomas Berdych to win @ 7/2 (Betfair Sportsbook)

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