The inaugural ATP Los Cabos takes place on the hardcourts of Mexico this week, despite the tournament having had much of its attention taken away from it by the Olympic Games, where both Novak Djokovic and Andy Murray are first and second favourites to win Gold.
However, the best value for this week’s tennis looks to be in Mexico, and here’s how the draw will hopefully pan-out.
Number one seed Feliciano Lopez heads the first-quarter, but he has a potentially difficult first hurdle in the shape of Sergiy Stakhovsky, who has won their last two matches, and both their previous matches on hardcourts. The winner of that match may well meet Dolgopolov in the quarter-finals, who has won his last two matches against Stakhovsky.
Big-serving American Sam Querrey has been playing some good tennis of late, and he should be able to beat Santiago Giraldo after winning their last 3 matches, and both their encounters on hardcourts. That may well set-up a quarter-final against Jeremy Chardy and, though he only holds a 3-2 record over his French opponent, he currently looks in much the better form of the two.
In the third-quarter, Granollers holds a 2-1 lead over Verdasco, but Verdasco won their last match, and only hardcourt match. That may well mean the Spaniard sets-up a quarter-final with Ivo Karlovic, who is fancied to beat Mannarino having won their last 2, and both their matches on this type of surface. Karlovic leads Verdasco 4-3 in their head-to-heads and, though they haven’t met since 2011, he’s fancied to make the semi-finals.
The Garcia Lopez vs Almagro match could go either way but, regardless of who wins, pre-tournament favourite Tomic is fancied to beat either of them on his way to the semi-finals.
Semi-Finals And Final
However, Tomic’s tournament may come to an end when he meets Karlovic as the big-serving Croatian has very much had his measure in their last two meetings, despite losing their first three encounters.
It’s a similar scenario in the top-half of the draw with Querrey having won his last 4 matches against Dolgopolov, despite losing their first two head-to-heads. Therefore, a Querrey vs Karlovic final could be on the cards. Querrey does hold a 5-3 lead but, as they haven’t met since 2013, backing both players may be the answer this week.
Querrey @ 6/1 (Betvictor, Ladbrokes)
Karlovic @ 7/1 (Betvictor)