Dave Dawes Silver Cup Handicap Chase 2019 Analysis
15:00 at Ascot on 21st December
This handicap chase over nearly three miles is worth over £56,000 to the winner, so it will have been a major target for most of the entries. Black Corton is a grade one winning chaser and the handicapper has dropped him 2lb since he was third here earlier in the season. But he was beaten over 30 lengths by Native River last time and is rated 9lb higher than any of the previous nine winners of this race.
The handicapper also hit Crievehill with a 10lb rise for winning last time and could struggle off his new mark at a course he’s underperformed at before. Paul Nicholls has high hopes for Give Me A Copper this season, but heavy ground is an unknown factor for him. The ground is also a worry for Mister Malarkey whose three wins last season came on much better ground. Azzerti may find this class too hot to handle.
Acting Lass handles plenty of cut in the ground but, after winning at Chepstow last time, he’s now 4lb higher than well beaten behind two of his rivals at Ascot earlier in the season. Course winner Kidisart is interesting stepped back up in trip on soft ground but a rating of 155 is higher than any other winner of this race has overcome.
Yalltari is one of the few runners to have won on heavy ground and he ran well on much quicker ground in a Grade 2 here last season. He’s not raced since, but shrewd trainer Venetia Williams could have preserved his handicap mark for this race, which she won in 2013 with Houblon Des Obeaux.
Jerrysback is interesting on his close second to Vinndication at Ascot last season, when he had two useful sorts behind. He’s also done most of his winning on soft ground. But he ran appallingly on his seasonal debut and, though Barry Geraghty rides, he has something to prove.