Portugal will arrive at the 2018 World Cup as European Champions and, when it comes to trying to predict which player will be Portugal’s top goalscorer, Christiano Ronaldo instantly springs to mind. However, it’s worth remembering that Ronaldo has only scored one goal at each of the last three World Cup Finals. Therefore, we thought we’d take a look to see if there’s any value in taking Christiano Ronaldo on in the 2018 World Cup Portugal Top Scorer Market.
2018 World Cup Portugal Top Scorer Betting
Christiano Ronaldo 2/5, Andre Silva 4/1, Nelson Oliveira 15/1, Eder 20/1, Joao Moutinho 20/1, Bernard Silva 25/1
Ronaldo has scored 79 goals in 147 games for Portugal, and he also scored an amazing 14 goals in World Cup Qualifying, be it that many of those goals were scored against opposition inferior to that he faces on a weekly basis in La Liga. Of course, he also averages over a goal a game for Real Madrid, though he hasn’t been as hot this season in Spain’s top division. However, there’s a note of caution for anyone that thinks Ronaldo is a certainty in this market, as his record in the World Cup Finals is disappointing. He scored just once at each of the 2006, 2010 and 2014 World Cup Finals, and Manicle and Tiago were respectively Portugal’s leading scorer with 2 goals in 2006 and 2010. In 2014, Ronaldo shared the accolade with Nani and Varela.
22-year-old Silva hasn’t been prolific for either Porto or Milan yet, but scored 16 goals in 24 games for Portugal’s U-19 side, and 8 goals in 10 games for Portugal’s U-20 Side. He’s also been a big help to Portugal since breaking into the Full International side with 11 goals in 18 games, including 9 goals in World Cup Qualifying.
The fact that Oliviera is third favourite in the Portugal Top Scorer Market suggests that Portugal don’t have much in the way of back up to Ronaldo and Silva, as he only plays for Norwich. He’s also scored just two-goals in 17 games for Portugal.
His 109th minute winning goal in the final of the 2016 Euros means the 30-year-old will always have a place in Portuguese History, but 4 goals in 33 games for Portugal suggests there won’t be many takers of the 20/1 about him. He’s not been much better for his recent club sides, with 0 goals in 13 games for Swansea, and 12 in 44 games for Lille.
Joao Mouthinho is an ageing midfielder with 7 goals in 105 games for Portugal, and he scored 1 goal in qualifying. Bernardo Silva plays for Manchester City, and has scored 2 goals in 21 games for his country.
No one will be surprised if Ronaldo lands odds of 2/5, but he’s not been at his best for Real Madrid this season, and will surely need more than the one goal he’s managed at the last three World Cups. Therefore, at 10-times the price, the value-bet looks to be backing Andre Silva in the hope that the young striker rises to the big occasion.