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2018 Australian Open Tennis Ante-Post Preview | Betting Gods
2018 Australian Open Tennis Ante-Post Preview

2018 Australian Open Tennis Ante-Post Preview

Published on 30/11/17

The 2017 ATP Men’s Tennis Season was one of the strangest I can remember. It was a season that, like the few before it, was expected to be dominated by Novak Djokovic and Andy Murray, whilst there were rumblings in some quarters that it may be a season in which the young guns stole the show.

It wasn’t to be for Djokovic and Murray though, with fatherhood looking like it left them unmotivated, and injuries meaning both missed a huge part of the season, along with the likes of Stan Wawrinka, Milos Raonic and Kei Nishikori. Meanwhile, 20-year-old German Alexander Zverev did manage to make a name for himself by winning his first ATP Title, and followed that up with four further victories

However, it was the old men of the Locker Room in Roger Federer and Rafa Nadal who rekindled the supposed dying embers of their careers to claim two more Grand Slam Titles each.

Therefore, I for one can’t wait for the 2018 ATP Season to start, with the 2018 Australian Open the first big target for all the players – and it’s time to see if there’s any value in the 2018 Australian Open Tennis ante-post market.

2018 Australian Open Tennis Ante-Post Betting Guide

Roger Federer 3/1, Rafa Nadal 7/2, Novak Djokovic 4/1, Andy Murray 8/1, Alexander Zverev 14/1, Grigor Dimitrov 20/1, Stan Wawrinka 20/1, Nick Kyrgios 33/1, Milos Raonic 33/1, Marin Cilic 33/1, David Goffin 50/1

Roger Federer

Last year’s win was Federer’s fifth Australian Open Title and, though his previous win was in 2010, he had made it to the semis in 5 of the 6 years in between. Seemed ideally suited to the new quicker courts last season, and could easily win his 20th Grand Sam here.

Rafa Nadal

Only win in the Australian Open came in 2009, but was also a losing finalist in 2012, 2014 and 2017. Showed he can still miss it on hardcourts with another win in the US Open, but his overall record of 1 win in 15 attempts here suggests the world number one offers little in the way of value.

Novak Djokovic

Won 6 of the last 10 Australian Opens, winning every time he’s made the final, but never getting beyond the quarter-finals when not winning. Shock second-round exit seemed to set the tone for his season, and it could be that the Serb never recaptures his best form having achieved his goal of joining the tennis greats by achieving a career slam – but great value if he does.

Andy Murray

Five-times a beaten finalist here in the last eight years, and Federer and Djokovic tend to have the edge over him on the big occasion. Twice a Wimbledon Champion, twice an Olympic Champion, OBE, and father – it remains to be seen as to whether Andy Murray wants to fight his way to the top again.

Alexander Zverev

Seemed at his best in best-of-three set matches so far, he has failed to make it past the fourth-round in any of the 10 Grand Slams he has played in. He may well improve that record this year, but he may still lack the stamina to win one.

Grigor Dimitrov

Played 29 Grand Slams so far, and only made two semi-finals. Lost out to Nadal in the semis here last year though, and confidence could be high after winning the 2017 ATP World Tour Finals.

Stan Wawrinka

Must return from an injury curtailed season, but the 2014 winner has won 3 of his last 16 Grand Slams and 2 of his last 8 hardcourt Grand Slams. Also reached the semis here in two of the last three years – and always looks overpriced on his achievements.

Nick Kyrgios

Made the quarter-finals here in 2015, but his terrible attitude is likely to overrule his talent at some point during the 7 matches it takes to win a Grand Slam.

Milos Raonic

The big-serving Canadian is another who must return from injury, but he has made the quarters or semis here the last three years. Got the game to compete with most players, but nerves have got the better of him on the biggest stages of all so far.

Marin Cilic

Semi-finalist in 2010, but not made it past the third round since.

David Goffin

Quarter-finalist last year, and only a freak accident at the French pen stopped him having an even better season than he did. Also beat Federer at the ATP Tour Finals, but maybe doesn’t have enough firepower to beat the two or three the top-players that is usually required to win a slam.

Summary

There’s a lot of speculation as to which players will return at their best from injury, but it’s possible to argue that Novak Djokovic and Stan Wawrinka are overpriced on their record here – with Wawrinka possible the best value at 20/1 with Unibet, a price almost 4-times higher than it should be for a strike-rate of 3 out of 16.

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