The Yorkshire Oaks (Thursday 24 August, 3.35) is the Group 1 highlight of the second day of this year’s Ebor Meeting at York. It is run over 1 mile 3 furlongs and 188 yards, and the winner will receive £198,485.
3-year-olds have won six renewals (including the last three), 4-year-olds have won four
4 of the last 7 winners have been drawn in stall-six
5 of the last 10 winners had won last time out
Winners had run 18 to 60 days previously
Aidan O’Brien has trained 3 of the last 10 winners, including 2 of the last 3
John Gosden has trained 2 of the last 8 winners
SPs have ranged from 4/9 to 8/1
One of two runners for Sir Michael Stoute, who has trained nine winners of this race, but this one has 18lb to find with the favourite Enable. A positive is her 1 from 1 record over course and distance, but that was only a Listed Race.
Seems to have improved at 4 judged on her win in a Listed Race at Ayr and a Group 1 win in Ireland. However, that Group 1 form still needs improving on if she is to land this, and she’s unproven over 12-furlongs.
The second of Sir Michael Stoute’s two runners ran well to be third in last year’s renewal, be it 4-lengths behind the winner. Best race this season came at Royal Ascot, but disappointed either side of that when there was soft in the ground description; meaning connections will be disappointed to see the rainfall on Wednesday.
Aidan O’Brien’s sole representative had a confidence booster when she won a Listed Race last time, but that will have had to improve her a great deal to close the 11-lengths gap that Enable beat her in both the Epsom Oaks and Irish Oaks.
Won 3 of her 6 races, but beaten in Group 1s in the other 3, including by stablemate Enable in the Epsom Oaks and Irish Oaks. Did close the gap in the Irish Oaks, but still has over 8-lengths to make up.
Officially rated 8lb higher than her nearest rival, and gets 9lb from the older fillies here. The fact John’s Gosden’s Taghrooda got beat here after winning the Epsom Oaks and King George offers the others some hope but, after proving herself on all types of ground, she’ll be very hard to beat if anywhere near her best.
Is Enable drifts to anything like 2/5 or 1/2, expect wheelbarrows of money for her. However, for most punters it will be a case of trying to pick the forecast, with Nezwaah fancied to take second.