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2017 September Stakes Trends And Tip

Published on September 8, 2017 by Tim @ Betting Gods

The September Stakes started life in 1979, but this Group 3 race run over 12-Furlongs was moved to the all-weather track at Kempton in 2006. Since then, it’s most notable winner has been Jack Hobbs, though the 2013 and 2014 winners Prince Bishop went on to claim the 2015 Dubai World Cup.

This year it takes place at 14:05 and is known as the toteplacepot September Stakes.

Trends

The last 10 winners have been aged 3 to 7, with 4-year-olds and 6-year-old each providing 3 winners

The last two winners came from stall-7, though the three prior to that all came from stall-2

Only 2 of the last 10 winners had won last time out

Winners raced 14 to 161 days previously

Sir Michael Stoute trained 2 of the last 6 winners, and is the race’s leading all-time trainer with 6 winners

SPs of the last 10 winners have ranged from 1/5 to 16/1

Runner-By-Runner Guide

Chemical Charge

Won two Conditions Races this season (favourite for both), but has also fallen short in three Group Races, though did run well enough in two of those to suggest he’ll go very close here. Also run well on both all-weather starts. Including when second over course and distance.

Danehill Kodiac

Won a handicap on his only start this season, in a style that suggested he had improved for a long break. However, he was beaten 2-lengths by Scarlet Dragon last season when receiving 3lb, and meets that rival on level-terms today.

Midterm

Fantastically bred colt who hasn’t lived up to his bloodline yet, but wouldn’t be the first horse trained by Sir Michael Stoute to suddenly start making rapid improvement as he gets older. Showed his well-being with a win in a Conditions Stakes last time, but did finish behind Chemical Charge earlier in the season, before finishing in front of that rival next time when Chemical Charge ran no sort of race.

Scarlet Dragon

Tried at a variety of trips from 10 to 14 furlongs this season, but his record at 12-furlongs reads 1/1/3. However, that third placing suggests he is a few pounds inferior to Chemical Charge on a line through Second Step.

Wild Hacked

Goes well for Luke Morris, and was a decent second to a well-handicapped rival here earlier in the season. However, balance of form suggests he’ll need one or two of the principals to under-perform.

Law And Order

Getting 8lb from Second Step when over 2-lengths behind that rival last time out, which suggests he has plenty to find on similar terms with the older horses here. Won only all-weather starts though, so not entirely ruled-out.

Summary

This is a weak Group-3 so, as Chemical Charge ran excellently in a Listed Race over course and distance earlier in the season, despite being drawn wide, he should be up to the task as he is rated 4lb+ higher than all his rivals.

Tip : Chemical Charge @ 11/8 WilliamHillBetway, BetVictor

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