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2017 Racing Post Trophy Preview And Tip | Betting Gods
2017 Racing Post Trophy Preview And Tip

2017 Racing Post Trophy Preview And Tip

Published on 27/10/17

The Racing Post Trophy (Saturday 28 October, 3.25) is a Group 1 Race for 2-year-olds, and is run over the straight-mile at Doncaster. Founded in 1961, it took its current name when the Racing Post became the sponsor in 1989, and is a recognised trial for the following year’s Epsom Derby. Five horses have won both races: Reference Point, High Chaparral, Motivator, Authorized and Camelot.

10-Year-Trends

8 of the last 10 winners had won last time out
No winner had run more than 4 times
Winners were drawn in stall ranging from 3 to 10, with 2 drawn in stall-3, and 2 drawn in stall-6
Winners had run 14 to 100 days previously
Aidan O’Brien has trained 3 of the last 8 winners
Andrea Atzeni has ridden the last 4 winners
SP’s have ranged from 10/11 to 33/1

Runner-By-Runner Guide

Alfa McGuire

Won 2 of his 5 runs, but more exposed than an average winner, and has 24lb to find with the best of these.

Chilean

2 from 3 so far, and won both his races at a mile. The form of those wins has yet to work out though, and it could be asking too much of even Doncaster’s best jockey Andrea Atzeni to get this one home (though he has won the race on a 33/1 shot).

Coat Of Arms

O from 6 so far for Aidan O’Brien and, having already finished 10¾ lengths behind the re-opposing Verbal Dexterity, he may well have pace-making duties for his fellow Ballydoyle inmates.

Gabr

Got off the mark at the third time of asking when stepped-up to a mile for the first time, and the second that day has since dead-heated with another of today’s rival Loxley. Still looks to have a bit to find though, and trainer Sir Michael Stoute doesn’t have a great record in the race having won it just once.

Loxley

Godolphin have owned a couple of winners of this race, but this one will need to take a significant step forward from his debut where he dead-heated with a rival that had previously been beaten by Gabr.

Merlin Magic

Won his maiden at the fourth attempt when stepped-up to 8½ furlongs, but even that form leaves him with around 2 stone to find.

Roaring Lion

All 3 of his wins have been over a mile, and he notched-up his hattrick with a neck victory over a 110-rated rival from Ballydoyle. However, that horse isn’t in the Ballydoyle raiding party today – so you have to think that Aidan O’Brien has bigger guns to fire here. John Gosden is also winless in this race.

Saxon Warrior

Looks the Ballydoyle number one with Ryan Moore in the saddle (though Moore has yet to win this race), and he’s interestingly bred being out of Japanese wonder horse Deep Impact and European Champion 2-year-old Maybe (sired by Galileo). Form not boosted yet, and the horse he beat last time had finished further behind Nelson previously, suggesting there may not be too much between him and Roaring Lion.

Seahenge

Course winner, but the fact that Ryan Moore has ridden him just once from starts suggests he’s not at the top of the Ballydoyle pecking order.

Theobald

Finished behind The Pentagon and Nelson in runs this season, and interesting that he finished much further behind Nelson. Possible pacemaker for stablemate Verbal Dexterity.

The Pentagon

Already vying for favouritism for next year’s Derby but, despite winning his last two races, the formbook suggests he’ll need to really appreciate the step-up to a mile for the first time – which he should on breeding. However, Ryan Moore still prefers Saxon Warrior.

Verbal Dexterity

Won two races over 7-furlongs, and easily forgiven his defeat over 6-furlongs in between as his run-style suggests he’s already crying out for this mile. However, this is plan B after a small setback, as his trainer was intending to run him in the Dewhurst, which he has a great record in.

Summary

This looks likely to be a first victory for someone, and it could be Ryan Moore aboard Saxon Warrior, or a first for trainer John Gosden with Roaring Lion. However, the horse that has impressed me most is Verbal Dexterity, and he can hopefully prove a first Racing Post Trophy winner for both Jim Bolger and Kevin Manning.

Verbal Dexterity – Win @ 4/1 Bet365, BetVictor, WilliamHill

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