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2017 Nunthorpe Stakes Preview And Tip

Published on August 25, 2017 by Tim @ Betting Gods

The Nunthorpe Stakes (Friday 24 August, 3.35) is the highlight of the third day of the Ebor Meeting at York. It is a Group 1 Race run over 5-furlongs, and the winner receives £198,485.

10-Year-Trends

The age of the winners has ranged from 2 to 7, with 7-year-old claiming 3 wins

The last 7 winners were all drawn between stalls 7 and 11

Only 3 winners had won last time out

Winners ran 14 to 66 days previously

Paul Mulrennan has ridden the last 2 winners

SPs have ranged from 11/4 to 100/1

Runner-By-Runner Guide

Alpha Dephini

Won only course and distance start off a mark of 83, but now rated 109. However, was only a 5-length sixth behind Lady Aurelia at Royal Ascot, and an 11-length ninth behind Battaash Sandown, and looks outclassed.

Cotai Glory

Beaten in two Listed Races and in a previous renewal of this race over course and distance, and hard to see him making an impression here against what could be two of the best 5-furlong sprinters we’ve seen for a while.

Duke Of Firenze

This race was nominated as his big seasonal target after he won a handicap here earlier in the season. Cut through the field like the proverbial knife through butter that day, but will need to post his best effort by some way to trouble the principals.

Final Venture

Decent second in a Listed Race over course and distance two starts ago, but has been well-beaten by both Lady Aurelia and Battaash this season.

Goldream

Placed three times in six course and distance starts, and yet another who has been well-beaten by both Lady Aurelia and Battaash.

Profitable

Beaten 3-lengths by Lady Aurelia at Royal Ascot, and just over two-lengths by Battaash at Glorious Goodwood, though he had his preferred soft ground when beaten in the second of those races. Only sixth here last year, but officially third best on the ratings.

Take Cover

10-year-old who continues to defy his age, and has won 3 of 6 course and distance starts. However, faces two mightily fast trailblazers here, and unlikely to be able to dominate.

Washington DC

Confidence boosted with a Group 3 win last time, but bombed in Group 1 and 2 company behind Lady Aurelia and Battaash before that. Also well-beaten in last year’s renewal.

Battaash

Took the sprinting world by storm on his 3 starts this season and, though this will be his first Group 1, both the formbook and the clock say he is up to this class.

Marsha

Last year’s Prix De L’Abbaye winner was expected to be a star of the sprinting division this season, but has yet to prove a match for either Lady Aurelia or Battaash. Won only course and distance start though, and may prove best of the rest.

Priceless

Looked a contender for sprint honours at the beginning of the season, but hasn’t looked capable of hacking it at Group 1 level so far.

Lady Aurelia

Won all her starts at 5-furlongs, and only slight negative is that the stable’s Acapulco was beaten here after winning so impressively at Royal Ascot. However, this filly looks even better, and she’ll be a tough nut to crack.

Summary

Lady Aurelia and Battaash are clear of their rivals on both the book and the clock, and the two are expected to fight out the finish unless anything goes wrong with one of them. It’s hard to split them though, as both handle soft and fast ground, but a slight preference goes to Battaash, who is drawn in stall-9.

Our Prediction : Battaash @ 2.66 with Matchbook

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