The Monte Carlo Masters is an ATP Masters 1000 Event played on the outdoor clay-courts of the Monte Carlo Country Club. The tournament was first established in 1897, but has been dominated mainly by Rafa Nadal since the turn of the century. The Spaniard won the title 8-times consecutively between 2005 and 2012, before regaining his title in 2015 after a 3-year barren spell. In those 3-years, the tournament was won twice by Novak Djokovic, and once by Stan Wawrinka.
2017 Monte Carlo Masters Betting
Rafa Nadal 11/4, Novak Djokovic 11/4, Andy Murray 4/1, Stan Wawrinka 7/1, Jo-Wilfred Tsonga 25/1, Dominic Thiem 33/1
Andy Murray is still World Number One, but he is yet to make a final here. However, he looks to have strong claims of making it to the semi-finals, if motivated for this clay-court event that is held 5-weeks before the French open, as he holds outstanding records against his two most likely quarter-final opponents Marin Cilic and Tomas Berdych.
Meanwhile, local fans will be hoping for a real crowd-pleaser in the second-quarter, where 2014 Champion Stan Wawrinka is seeded to meet Jo-Wilfred Tsonga in the quarter-final. The pair have enjoyed some epic matches in recent seasons, including a win here in 2013 for Tsonga. However, it is Wawrinka who has won their last 3 clay-court matches.
A Murray/Wawrinka semi-final will certainly be a sell-out and, as Wawrinka holds 3-1 lead on clay, he looks the value to make it to the final from the top-half of the draw.
The third-quarter looks all about Nadal, though I doubt he’ll have easy matches all the way to the semi-finals with Alexander Zverev and Grigor Dimitorv laying in wait. However, the clay-courts should be to his advantage.
The fourth-quarter could see Dominic Thiem take on Goffin in the round of-16, with Thiem taken to come out on top. However, neither have any chance against Djokovic in the final if past head-to-heads are taken at face-value. That means a Djokovic/Nadal semi-final beckons, and what a treat that would be. They’ve played each other four-times before here, with the score at 2-2, though Djokovic has won the last two. However, Nadal is in much better form this season, compared to when suffering those defeats.
2017 Monte Carlo Masters Summary
It’s rare that these Masters 1000 Events don’t go to one of the big-4 seeds but, whilst Nadal and Djkokovic deserve to be joint-favourites, only one of them can make the final. Therefore, the value looks to be an each-way bet on Stan Wawrinka, who could easily make the final from the top-half of the draw. He would also not be without a chance in the final against either Nadal or Djokovic, especially if they have to endure a hard-match against the other one in the semi-finals.
Stan Wawrinka Each-Way @ 7/1 (Stan James, Boylesports) ½ odds 1-2