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2017 Magnolia Stakes Statistics And Tip

Published on March 31, 2017 by Tim @ Betting Gods

The Magnolia Stakes (Saturday 2.05) is a 10-Furlong Listed Race run at Kempton Park on the all-weather, although it was run on turf at Kempton Park before 2006.

Magnolia Stakes 10-Year-Trends

  • Winners Have Been Aged 4 to 6, with 4-year-olds winning five renewals
  • SPs of the winners have ranged from 8/13 to 12/1, though 8 winners started at 11/4 or shorter
  • Only 1 of the last 10 winners had won last time out
  • Winners last ran 21 to 311 days previously
  • Winners have been drawn in stalls 1, 3, 5, 6, 7 and 9, with 3 winners drawn in stall-6
  • Only 1 winner has carried more than 9-0 to victory
  • John Gosden has trained 3 of the last 10 winners

Magnolia Stakes Runner-By-Runner Guide

Quarterback

Winner of a Scandinavian Group-3, but struggled on previous visit to Britain, and has to carry a penalty for his group-race win.

Sovereign Debt

Has his first run for trainer Ruth Carr, but this new trip of 10-furlongs is likely to be too far for a horse who has always looked best at 7-Furlongs or a mile.

Fire Fighting

Officially the highest-rated horse in the field and, as a course winner, he is likely to run his race. However, he has the widest draw to contend with, and some potential improvers.

Linguistic

Beaten by the re-opposing Viren’s Army last year, but interesting that he was sent-off favourite for that race. His trainer John Gosden has a great record in the race, and he showed his skill in bringing one back after a break when Jack Hobbs won the Sheema Classic last weekend. Wears first-time blinkers.

Poeta Diletto

Having his first run for trainer Marco Botti having plied his trade in Italy recently. Not much to find on official-ratings, though it’s very hard to quantify the merit of his Italian form in the context of this race.

Viren’s Army

Likeable sort who has won four-times in Britain and Meydan, and beat Linguistic by a short-head on identical terms the only time they’ve previously met. Also has the advantage of a recent run, though that hasn’t been a prerequisite to success in recent renewals. Wears first-time cheek-pieces.

Absolute Blast

Creditable third in the Winter Derby gives her every chance, and she was an easy winner of her only course start.

Very Dashing

New trainer Ralph Beckett is a very good with fillies, but he’ll need to have improved this one a few pounds for her to get competitive against some decent opposition.


Magnolia Stakes Summary

Absolute Blast and Fire Fighting both boast decent all-weather form, though they could both be vulnerable to the Godolphin pair of Viren’s Army and Linguistic. Viren’s Army probably has the stronger form of the two, but Linguistic looks a likely improver this year for John Gosden, who boasts a terrific record in the race.


Magnolia Stakes Tip

Linguistic – Win @ 7/2 (BetBright, Ladbrokes, PaddyPower)

BetBright

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