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2017 July Cup Preview And Tip | Betting Gods
2017 July Cup Preview And Tip

2017 July Cup Preview And Tip

Published on 14/07/17

The July Cup (16:35 Newmarket, Saturday 15 July) was first incorporated into the racing calendar in 1876, and was elevated to Group 1 status in 1978. It is run over 6-furlongs on Newmarket’s July Course, and is open to horses aged 3 or older.

10-Year-Trends

6 of the last 10 winners were drawn in the 5 highest numbered stalls
The last 10 renewals have been won by five 4-year-olds, three 3-year-olds and two 5-year-olds
Only 4 of the winners had won last time out
No horse, jockey or trainer has won 2 renewals in the last 10 years
SPs ranged from 7/4 to 20/1

Runner-By-Runner Guide

Brando

Capable of some big runs, but best form was probably when 1-length behind The Tin Man at Ascot last season. Woefully out of form when last seen (stable out of form) and needs to not only bounce back, but improve.

Growl

Finished between The Tin Man and Brando at Ascot last season, but hasn’t looked the same horse so far this season.

Intisaab

Likeable sort in handicaps and Listed level, bit beaten last time in a Group 3 on the all-weather, and a very unlikely winner on all known form.

Limato

Won last year’s renewal on fast ground, and any further softening of the ground will be very much against the reigning champion. Proved he likes the course there though, but meets some potentially high-class 3-year-olds this season. Stable just hit form.

Mr Lupton

Not up to this standard on ratings, but relishes coming off a fast pace. Jamie Spencer an interesting booking for such as horse, and no surprise if he beats plenty of these if the early fractions are fast.

Tasleet

Seemed to relish soft ground when winning at York on seasonal debut, and The Tin Man got first run on him when second to that one on the Golden Jubilee, with Limato back in third.

Caravaggio

Looked outpaced in the Commonwealth Cup at one point, but flew at the end to beat Harry Angel. Won on soft ground at Royal Ascot last season, so good ground might be perfect for him.

Harry Angel

Set the pace in the Commonwealth Cup when second to Caravaggio, and, it will be interesting to see if connections can leave a bit more in reserve this time.

Intelligence Cross

Rated a stone below the principals, and a likely pacemaker for Caravaggio

Summary

The July Cup is the first Group-1 clash between the 3-year-olds and the older sprinters, and the classic generation have two serious horses going into bat for them in Caravaggio and Harry Angel. The 4-year-olds certainly aren’t mugs though, and Limato should be a danger with the Candy Stable hitting peak form, whilst the two horses that beat him at Royal Ascot, The Tin Man and Tasleet, also look to have serious chances. However, Aidan O’Brien maintains that Caravaggio is the fastest horses he’s had, and he should be backed until defeated.

Caravaggio – Win @ 11/10 Black Type, Bet365, William Hill, Paddy Power

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