The French Open is the second Grand Slam of the tennis season, and the format of five-set matches with no tie-break available in the fifth-set means this is the toughest two-weeks that any successful player will have to endure.
It’s therefore no surprise that the King of Clay Rafa Nadal has won this event 9-times, as his abundant stamina allows him to wear down opponents. However, after already nailing my colours firmly to Nadal’s mast earlier in the week, it’s time to look for some other value-bets amongst the quarter-winners and name the finalists markets.
First Quarter Betting: Murray 5/2, Alexander Zverev 7/2, Nishikori 5/1, Berdych 8/1, Del Potro 9/1
The clay court season has passed Andy Murray by so far, with only a solitary semi-final appearance to his name in Barcelona, however the other well-known players in this quarter haven’t been faring any better. To his credit, Murray has won his quarter here for the past 3 seasons, and there’s little doubt that a return to five-sets is very much in his favour, making the 5/2 look on the generous side. The biggest thorn in his side may be the rapidly improving Alexander Zverev, but the 20-year-old German may lack the stamina for two-weeks in the big league at the moment.
Second Quarter Betting: Wawrinka 9/4, Tsonga 11/2, Cilic 11/2, Kyrgios 9/1
Stan Wawrinka struggles to find the motivation to compete week in week out on the ATP Tour, but is a completely different animal when it comes to Grand Slams, winning his quarter in 6 of his last 9 grand slams. This also looks the weakest of the four quarters, with Cilic and Kyrgios not at their best on clay, and Wawrinka to win the second quarter may well be the best bet of the week.
Wawrinka To Win The Second Quarter @ 9/4 (Ladbrokes, Coral)
Third Quarter Betting: Nadal 1/3, Raonic 13/2, Dimitrov 12/1
Nadal should have little difficult seeing off the likes of Raonic and Dimitrov, though only the big-hitters will want to take 1/3 about him reaching the semi-finals.
Fourth Quarter Betting: Djokovic 8/11, Thiem 10/3, Goffin 9/1
Thiem has been in great form so far this season, but may find David Goffin a serious stumbling block after losing both of their matches this season. Goffin also beat Djokovic the last time they met and, though Djokovic is the likely winner, backing Goffin with a view to possibly laying him back if he meets Djokovic in the quarter-finals may offer better value.
Goffin To Win The Fourth Quarter @ 9/1 (Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook)
Name The Finalists
With Nadal and Wawrinka looking the most solid bets to reach the semi-finals, the 7/1 for them to be the finalists also makes plenty of appeal at 7/1.
Nadal/Wawrinka Final @ 7/1 (Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook)