2017 Falmouth Stakes Preview And Tip

Posted July 13, 2017

By Tim @ Betting Gods

The Tattersalls Falmouth Stakes (3.35, Friday 14 July) a 1-mile Group 1 Race that is open to fillies and mares aged 3 or older. It is run on the July Course at Newmarket and, since being elevated to a Group 1 in 2004, it has been won by high-class horses such as Goldikova, Amazing Maria and Alice Springs.

10-Year-Trends

The last 10 renewals have been won by six 4-year-olds and three 3-year-olds
SPs have ranged from 7/4 to 16/1
8 of the last 10 winners were drawn 5 or lower, with 4 of the last 10 winners drawn in stall-4
Ryan Moore is the only jockey to have ridden more than one winner in the last 10 years

Runner-By-Runner Guide

Greta G

Officially the third highest-rated horse in the race, but hard to equate the form of her win in a South American Group 1 for different trainer last season. Now trained by John Gosden, for whom she ran okay at Royal Ascot, however the two horses directly in front of her there couldn’t win a very winnable Listed Race next time.

Opal Tiara

Capable of some decent form, but was 33/1 when finishing well-behind Great G at Royal Ascot, and up against it.

Arabian Hope

Rapid improver this year with wins in a maiden, handicap and Listed Race. The form of her last win has been boosted since, though she was getting plenty of weight from her elders there, and she runs off level-weights against plenty of decent 3-year-old fillies here.

Delectation

Won Group 3 races at two and three, and not disgraced when fourth in the German 1,000 Guineas last time. Connections make the journey from Germany, and not without a chance.

Roly Poly

Finished behind Sea Of Grace in the Nell Gwyn and the French 1,000 Guineas, but seemingly improved on those runs when second behind stablemate Winter in both the Irish 2,000 Guineas and the Coronation Stakes, and should go close.

Sea Of Grace

Finished in front of Roly Poly on both her starts this season and, after just 5 runs. Missed Royal Ascot because of the firm ground, but has lots of scope for improvement after just 5 runs, and looks sure to be involved at the finish for stable with a fantastic strike-rate this season.

Wuheida

Highly-regarded filly who went straight from winning a maiden here on her first start to winning a Group 1 on her second start. Injured afterwards, and may need this after being off the track since October, but also has the potential to be the star-performer in the field.

Summary

The 4-year-old don’t look out of the top-drawer, so it could pay to concentrate on the three-year-olds. Arabian Hope is still improving, but Wuheida, Roly Poly and Sea Of Grace bring genuine Group 1 form to the table. Wuheida could be anything but, she’ll need to be special to win this after 9 months off, and Sea Of Grace is taken to finish in front of Roly Poly for the third time this season.

Sea Of Grace – Win @ 11/4 Bet365, William Hill, BetVictor

Published Under: UK Horse Racing /

Leave Your Comment Below

Be the first to comment below!

Our Latest Free Tips

Check Out the Latest Free Tips from the Betting Gods Team