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2017 Dewhurst Stakes Preview And Tip | Betting Gods
2017 Dewhurst Stakes Preview And Tip

2017 Dewhurst Stakes Preview And Tip

Published on 14/10/17

The Dewhurst Stakes derives its name from the Dewhurst Stud, whose original owner Thomas Gee first established the race in 1875. It is a 7-furlong Group 1 Race for 2-year-olds which takes place on Newmarket’s Rowley Mile Course, and its role of honour is a who’s-who of classic winners. Great horses who have won the race include: Nijinsky, Mill Reef, El Gran Senor, Generous, Dr Devious, Zafonic and Frankel, whilst this year’s dual 2,000 Guineas winner Churchill also won the 2016 renewal.

Trends

9 of the last 11 winners were trained in Ireland
Jim Bolger and Kevin Manning have teamed-up to win 5 of the last 11 renewals
Aidan O’Brien and Ryan Moore have teamed-up to win the last 2 renewals
4 of the last 5 winners were odds-on, and had all won last time out

Runner-By-Runner Guide

Cardsharp

Won on the July Course in the summer, and ran well on the Rowley Mile Course when third in the Middle Park Stakes. Run-style not shouting out that he wants 7-furlongs, buy worth a try at this new trip all the same.

Emaaraty

Very expensive colt, which is no surprise being as he’s by Dubawi out of a Zafonic sired mare. Couldn’t justify favouritism on his debut, but made amends at odds-on next time, and looks sure to continue to improve.

Expert Eye

His 4-length win in a Group 2 at Glorious Goodwood was the most eye-catching performance of a 2-year-old this season, and the form has plenty of substance with the third winning a Listed Race, and the fourth and fifth winning Group 2’s since. Reports of niggling injuries since are a worry, but looks like he could be a superstar.

Great Prospector

Won his maiden at the first attempt, and decent third in a Group 2 next time. Only placed in a couple of big sales races since then, and will be disappointing if he’s good enough to win this prestigious race.

Mendelssohn

Won a maiden at the second attempt, but only last in a Group 2 since behind stablemate Seahenge. Ridden by Ryan Moore that day though, so may be capable of better on better ground. Blinkers go on.

Seahenge

Group 2 winner last time, but has 8-lengths to make up with Expert Eye if he gave his true running at Goodwood when they last met.

Theobald

Represents Jim Bolger and Kevin Manning, but the stable had a better candidate before he was withdrawn at the 48-hour declaration stage. Failed to win Group 3’s on last two runs and, though his connections harvest the race, he’ll still be a shock winner.

Threeandfourpence

Second in his first maiden, but winner has been second and first since, and won his second maiden. Big step-up in class, but must have been showing something at home at Ballydoyle.

US Navy Flag

Had plenty of racing, and wasn’t overly fancied when winning the Group 1 Middle Park over 6-furlongs here. The way he stayed on there suggested he’d be very much at home over 7-furlongs though, and no surprise if he at least hits the frame.

Summary

The two main stats are that Irish Trained horses have won 9 of the last 11 renewals, whilst 4 of the last 5 winners have been odds-on. One of those stats will have to give here, and it may be time for England to produce the best two-year-old of the season with Expert Eye looking like a potential superstar.

Tip : Expert Eye @ 4/7 Bet365 or WilliamHill

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