2017 Dewhurst Stakes Preview And Tip | Betting Gods
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2017 Dewhurst Stakes Preview And Tip
UK Horse Racing

2017 Dewhurst Stakes Preview And Tip

The Dewhurst Stakes derives its name from the Dewhurst Stud, whose original owner Thomas Gee first established the race in 1875. It is a 7-furlong Group 1 Race for 2-year-olds which takes place on Newmarket’s Rowley Mile Course, and its role of honour is a who’s-who of classic winners. Great horses who have won the race include: Nijinsky, Mill Reef, El Gran Senor, Generous, Dr Devious, Zafonic and Frankel, whilst this year’s dual 2,000 Guineas winner Churchill also won the 2016 renewal.

Trends

9 of the last 11 winners were trained in Ireland
Jim Bolger and Kevin Manning have teamed-up to win 5 of the last 11 renewals
Aidan O’Brien and Ryan Moore have teamed-up to win the last 2 renewals
4 of the last 5 winners were odds-on, and had all won last time out

Runner-By-Runner Guide

Cardsharp

Won on the July Course in the summer, and ran well on the Rowley Mile Course when third in the Middle Park Stakes. Run-style not shouting out that he wants 7-furlongs, buy worth a try at this new trip all the same.

Emaaraty

Very expensive colt, which is no surprise being as he’s by Dubawi out of a Zafonic sired mare. Couldn’t justify favouritism on his debut, but made amends at odds-on next time, and looks sure to continue to improve.

Expert Eye

His 4-length win in a Group 2 at Glorious Goodwood was the most eye-catching performance of a 2-year-old this season, and the form has plenty of substance with the third winning a Listed Race, and the fourth and fifth winning Group 2’s since. Reports of niggling injuries since are a worry, but looks like he could be a superstar.

Great Prospector

Won his maiden at the first attempt, and decent third in a Group 2 next time. Only placed in a couple of big sales races since then, and will be disappointing if he’s good enough to win this prestigious race.

Mendelssohn

Won a maiden at the second attempt, but only last in a Group 2 since behind stablemate Seahenge. Ridden by Ryan Moore that day though, so may be capable of better on better ground. Blinkers go on.

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Seahenge

Group 2 winner last time, but has 8-lengths to make up with Expert Eye if he gave his true running at Goodwood when they last met.

Theobald

Represents Jim Bolger and Kevin Manning, but the stable had a better candidate before he was withdrawn at the 48-hour declaration stage. Failed to win Group 3’s on last two runs and, though his connections harvest the race, he’ll still be a shock winner.

Threeandfourpence

Second in his first maiden, but winner has been second and first since, and won his second maiden. Big step-up in class, but must have been showing something at home at Ballydoyle.

US Navy Flag

Had plenty of racing, and wasn’t overly fancied when winning the Group 1 Middle Park over 6-furlongs here. The way he stayed on there suggested he’d be very much at home over 7-furlongs though, and no surprise if he at least hits the frame.

Summary

The two main stats are that Irish Trained horses have won 9 of the last 11 renewals, whilst 4 of the last 5 winners have been odds-on. One of those stats will have to give here, and it may be time for England to produce the best two-year-old of the season with Expert Eye looking like a potential superstar.

Tip : Expert Eye @ 4/7 Bet365 or WilliamHill

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