2017 BetBright Handicap Chase 10-Year-Trends

UK Horse Racing

2017 BetBright Handicap Chase 10-Year-Trends

Posted February 24, 2017 | By Tim @ Betting Gods

The BetBright Handicap Chase is a Grade-3 Chase run over 3-miles at Kempton (Saturday 25 Feb, 3.35) and it’s time to take a look at some of the trends from the last 10-years.

  • Winners have been rated 138 to 154, with six rated 138-144
  • Odds of the winners have ranged from 4/1 to 28/1, with six priced in single figures
  • Six of the last 10 winners had run in the last 28-days
  • Six of the last 10 winners carried 11-0 or more
  • Only 1 of the last 7 winners had won its previous race
  • Winners have been aged 7 to 11, with the last 3 winners aged 9.
  • Paddy Brennan has ridden 3 of the last 7 winners
  • Tom George and Paul Nicholls have each trained 2 of the last 10 winners

11 Runners are set to go to post for the 2017 BetBright Handicap Chase.

Annacotty

Won the 2013 Feltham Novices Chase over course and distance and, though mainly successful over shorter since, he is now just 3lb higher than when winning a valuable Cheltenham Handicap in 2016. Races off 154, which two of the last five winners have.

Theatre Guide

Won last year’s race off a 14lb lower mark, but has won again since off just a 4lb lower mark. Bids to give Paddy Brennan a fourth win in the race in 8-years.

Aso

Races like he’ll appreciate the step-up in trip to 3-miles, but would ideally like the ground to be softer having gone up 7lb for easy win two starts ago.

Three Musketeers

Always been highly touted, and put-up his best performance last time when beating a potentially well—handicapped rival. Up just 2lb for that, and stable very much in form, but stamina to prove.

Double Shuffle

Really seemed to appreciate the step-up to 3-miles when winning over course and distance last time. Up 6lb in the weights and up in class, but will probably go close for the in-form Tom George stable.

Irish Saint

Rated 4lb lower than winning a novice chase on the corresponding race last year, and interesting that he is 3 from 3 at Kempton. Could have been shrewdly plotted-up by Paul Nicholls, who won the race in 2015 and 2008.

Cocktails At Dawn

Hard to recommend on the form of his recent runs, but that run of poor form means this course winner is back on his last winning mark, and he looks the stable’s first string on jockey bookings.

Triolo D’Alene

Classy course winner who is now 3lb lower than when winning the Hennessey 4 years ago. Grand National his big aim, but winning here on route would be no problem with the weights for the big race now framed.

Ballykan

3lb higher than for the second of his two wins earlier in the season, and that form doesn’t look strong enough against classier opposition.

Viva Steve

Higher in the weights than when well-beaten sixth last year, and needs to find some improvement to take this.

Opening Batsman

Won this is in 2014 and second last year off a mark of 140, and now down to 133. Has every chance if back to the form of those runs, but the 11-year-old was well-beaten behind Double Shuffle last time.

Fingerontheswitch

Handicapper raised him harshly for last win, and balance of form suggests this is too classier a contest for him.

Pilgrim’s Bay

Steadily progressive, but another who takes a big step-up in grade. May find it too tough, unless he really appreciates carrying a light-weight for the first time over fences.

2017 BetBright Handicap Chase Summary

With over £56,000 going to the winner, it’s no surprise that many of the 13 runners looked to have been targeted specifically at the race. Double Shuffle and Irish Saint look sure to go well, however it may be worth chancing Triolo D’Alene who is the only runner to in the most prolific weight band who carries more than 11-0. Classy enough to win a Hennessey, he could be primed to run well here, especially as he isn’t guaranteed a run in the Grand National.

Triolo D’Alene 0.5 Points Each-Way @ 20/1 (William Hill) ¼ odds 3 places

Published Under: UK Horse Racing /

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