The ATP Tour Finals bring the curtain down on the ATP Season, in a tournament that only the top-8 players in the standings qualify for, with the next players in the standings taking the place of anyone who withdraws.
The only player missing from the top-8 players this year will be Stan Wawrinka, though last year’s champion Andy Murray and 5-time winner Novak Djokovic would also surely be in the finals if their seasons hadn’t been brought to an early end by injury.
That leaves French Open and US Open Champion Rafa Nadal heading the rankings, with Roger Federer in second, and both of these players have more than double the ranking points of any other qualifiers.
The other qualifiers are: Alexander Zverev, Dominic Thiem, Marin Cilic, Grigor Dimitrov, David Goffin and Jack Sock.
The tournament takes place between the 12-18 November at London’s O2 Arena, where it has been held since 2009.
The 8-players split into two groups, the Boris Becker Group and the Pete Sampras Group, in a Round Robin format, with the winners and runners up in each group progressing to the semi-finals. The Winner of the Boris Becker Group playing the Pete Sampras Runner-Up, and the Winner of the Pete Sampras Group playing the Boris Becker Winner Runner Up.
Boris Becker Group
Boris Becker Group Betting: Roger Federer 2/5, Alexander Zverev 5/1, Marin Cilic 6/1, Jack Sock 14/1
Boris Becker Group Head To Heads
Roger Federer vs Alexander Zverev 2-2
Roger Federer vs Marin Cilic 7-1
Roger Federer vs Jack Sock 3-0
Alexander Zverev vs Marin Cilic 3-1
Alexander Zverev vs Jack Sock 1-1
Marin Cilic vs Jack Sock 0-2
Boris Becker Group Summary
This doesn’t look a good group for Marin Cilic, who trails all 3 of his opponents in head-to-heads, but Roger Federer should progress. Who will join him in the semi-finals is interesting though, as Sock has a fighting chance against Zverev, and arrives in better form than the young German after winning the Paribas Master to secure his place.
Pete Sampras Group
Pete Sampras Group Betting: Rafa Nadal 10/11, Grigor Dimitrov 5/2, Dominic Thiem 13/2, David Goffin 8/1
Pete Sampras Group Head To Heads
Rafa Nadal vs Grigor Dimitrov 10-1
Rafa Nadal vs Dominic Thiem 5-2
Rafa Nadal vs David Goffin 2-0
Grigor Dimitrov vs Dominic Thiem 1-2
Grigor Dimitrov vs David Goffin 6-1
Dominic Thiem vs David Goffin 3-7
Pete Sampras Group Summary
Rafa Nadal is head and shoulders above the other three, and he’s only the price he is because of his latest injury scare, and the fact that he is yet to win this prestigious event. However, there’s no Murray or Djokovic to contend with, and he should top the group. The other place is again up for grabs, but David Goffin looks to be arriving in the best form of the three.
Semi-Finals And Final
Federer and Nadal met in the final here in 2010, and the crowds will be praying the big-two reach the final again, as there may not be too many more occasions were the two of them play in a big final. It’s a likely scenario too, with Federer having a perfect record against Goffin, and Nadal having a perfect record against Sock. Of the two, I’d fancy Federer to win, but odds for Federer and Nadal to meet in the final looks the value.