The ATP Rogers Cup, also known as the Canadian Open, is an ATP Masters 1000 event. It alternates venues between Montreal (Uniprix Stadium) in the odd years, and Toronto (Aviva Centre) in the even years, but is always played on hardcourts as the ATP Tour build towards the final grand-slam of the year, the US Open.
12 of the 13 renewals since 2004 have been won by the world’s 4 best players in Novak Djokovic (4), Andy Murray (3), Rafa Nadal (3) and Roger Federer (2), and the resurgent Nadal and Federer all playing this year. Meanwhile, the only shock winner in this period was Jo-Wilfred Tsonga in 2014, whilst notable runners-up in that time include Jian Martin Del Potro, Kei Nishimori and Milos Raonic.
ATP Rogers Cup Betting
Roger Federer 7/4, Rafa Nadal 7/2, Milos Raonic 10/1, Alexander Zverev 12/1, Kei Nishikori 19/1, Juan Martin Del Potro 50/1, Jo-Wilfred Tsonga 50/1
Number 1 Seed Rafa Nadal tops the first-quarter, and he looks to have an easy enough run to the last-16, where he holds a 6-0 head-to-head record on the opponent he’s seeded to meet there, John Isner. However, he could face stern opposition in the quarter-final in the shape of home favourite Milos Raonic, and the big-serving Canadian could be a bit of value if Nadal isn’t at his sharpest having not played since Wimbledon.
No player is improving quicker than number 4 seed Alexander Zverev but, after a busy week in Washington, he could be vulnerable to Kyrgios in the last 16, as he has lost both of their previous matches. The winner of that match will probably face Jo-Wilfred Tsonga in the Quarter-finals, and the Frenchman could prove the value, as he has a decent record against both Kyrgios and Zverev.
Third-seed Dominic Thiem could face an early exit if he faces Lucas Pouille in the last-16, but Pouille may then struggle against either Dimitrov or Berdych in the quarter-finals, having never won a match against either. It’s a tough call on Berdych or Dimitrov though, with the score standing at 3-3.
Roger Federer sets foot on court for the first time since Wimbledon and, whilst he was in sublime form throughout SW19, he could be vulnerable on his return. If he is, then it could be Kei Nishikori who takes advantage, as he took Federer to 5-sets at this year’s Australian Open.
Semi-Finals And Finals
This could easily be a Federer and Nadal final if the ageing warriors are in the mood but, with neither having played since Wimbledon, this looks a week to be taking them on. Canadian Milos Raonic could be the man, if he gets past Nadal in his quarter, especially as he’s won his last 3 against possible semi-final opponent Tsonga. Meanwhile, last year’s finalist Nishikori will be favourite against either Dimitrov or Berdych if they meet in the semi-finals.
Raonic, each-way @ 10/1 with Betsson
Nishikori, each-way @ 19/1 with Betsson