The ATP Cincinnati, also known as the Western and Southern Open, is an ATP 1,000 Masters Event that takes place on hardcourts at the Lindner Family Tennis Center in Mason, Cincinnati.
From 2007 to 2015, only the names of Roger Federer, Andy Murray and Rafa Nadal appeared on the trophy, however Marin Cilic broke the stranglehold of tennis’ elite players by beating Andy Murray in the final in 2016.
ATP Cincinnati Betting
Best Prices: Roger Federer 11/4, Rafa Nadal 4/1, Alexander Zverev 12/1, Kei Nishikori 16/1, Milos Raonic 20/1, Nick Kyrgios 25/1, Dominic Thiem 33/1, Grigor Dimitrov 33/1, John Isner 40/1, Jo-Wilfred Tsonga 40/1, Sam Querrey 66/1
Number-one seed Rafa Nadal was caught out by rising young star Denis Shapovalov last week, and could possibly have his work cut out again here with his Wimbledon conqueror Gilles Muller a possible last-16 opponent. However, he has beaten Muller in all of their previous meetings on hardcourts though, though that’s not the case against possible quarter-final opponent Jo-Wilfred Tsonga. The Frenchman has beaten Nadal in 2 of their last 3 hardcourt meetings, and has won 4 of their 12 previous head-to-heads.
Recent Los Cabos winner Sam Querrey may have been tired when losing to Kevin Anderson in the last-16 last week, but he could relish a possible last-16 match against Dominic Thiem this week having beaten him 6-1 7-5 the last time they met on a hardcourt. He also won his last match against his most likely semi-final opponent Kei Nishikori, though he does trail the Japanese player 5-4 overall.
Alexander Zverev is rapidly carving out a huge future in men’s tennis and, if last week’s final exertions haven’t taken too much out of him, he could make it 4-0 in head-to-heads in the last-16 against John Isner. That could set up an exciting quarter-final clash with Milos Raonic, with the score between them standing at 1-1. Zverev beat Raonic in straight sets on clay in Rome earlier in the season, whilst Raonic gained his revenge in 5-sets at Wimbledon; making this first clash on hardcourts is a tough one to call – though Zverev is just preferred.
The biggest danger to Roger Federer could be his own motivation this week but, having proved that he can handle two busy weeks on the bounce in winning two slams this season, he should keep his 100% record against Jack Sock in the last-16, before improving his records against either Dimitrov or Berdych in the quarters.
Semi-Finals And Final
Roger Federer has won 7 of the last 12 titles here and, despite another potential clash with Alexander Zverev in the semi-finals, the 13/8 on offer for an eighth title looks more than fair, as the stats suggest he should be odds-on. However, if you’re looking for a big-priced each-way alternative, it could be worth backing Sam Querrey in the top-half of the draw, as he has beaten both Tsonga and Nadal the last time they met on hardcourts (both this season).
ATP Cincinnati Tips
Federer; 8 Points Win @ 11/4 BetVictor
Sam Querrey; 1 Point Each-Way @ 66/1 PaddyPower ½ odds 2 places