2017 Ascot Gold Cup 10-Year-Trends And Tip

Posted June 22, 2017

By Tim @ Betting Gods

The Ascot Gold Cup (16:20 22nd June) is the highlight of day 3 of Royal Ascot, and is a group 1 race run over 2-miles and 4-furlongs.

10-Year-Trends

Winners have been drawn from stall 2 to stall 14

Winners have been aged 4 to 8, though the last 5 have all been aged 4

7 of the last 10 winners had won last time out

Winners ran between 13 and 92 days previously

6 of the last 10 winners were trained by Aidan O’Brien

Ryan Moore has ridden 2 of the last 4 winners

SP ranged from 10/11 to 20/1

Runner-By-Runner Guide

Big Orange

Regular Group 2 winner in recent seasons, including the last two Goodwood Cups. Bold front-runner who relishes fast ground, and he could be very hard to pass if allowed an easy lead into the straight.

Nearly Caught

Group 2 winner, but that was relatively uncompetitive for the grade, and form behind Quest For More last season suggests he’s got quite a bit to find with a few of these.

Order Of St George

Easy winner of last year’s renewal on soft ground, and bettered that form when third in the Arc afterwards. Not at his brilliant best since, but no surprise if he’s primed for this big target.

Quest For More

Peaked in the latter half of last season and, as he’s run well both starts at Ascot, he could go close if in that sort of form. However, he’s been well below that level of form in two starts so far this season.

Sheikzayedroad

Seemed to really get the hang of staying trips last season, finishing third in this race and the Goodwood Cup, before winning the Doncaster Cup and on British Champions Day. Short straight here not ideal, but they could be coming back to him if Big Orange sets a fast tempo from the off.

Torcedor

Won both races his new stable this year, one of which was a win over Order Of St George. The latter may not have been primed there though, and this one has to find more for a trainer still searching for her first Royal Ascot winner.

Trip To Paris

Not looked the same horse since getting injured in Australia, but he loves fast ground, and is a former winner of the race who could relish his first chance of running over this extended trip since then.

Harbour Law

Last year’s St Leger winner looked all about stamina when powering home last to win last season’s final classic and, despite disappointing on his seasonal reappearance, he’s a 4-year-old who could yet be a top-class stayer.

Harrison

Looked good when winning on the all-weather two starts ago, but beaten back on turf last time. Another who could enjoy the extended trip, but needs to improve a few pounds for it.

Prince Of Arran

All his best form had been on the all-weather at Kempton, but he showed he could be useful on turf when running on to be second in the Sagaro here earlier in the season.

Endless Time

Got within 1½ lengths of Vazirabad over 2-miles in France last season, but seemed to get outstayed at York on her last start. Stamina for this is dubious, but could have just needed her seasonal reappearance.

She Is No Lady

Big Orange finished 7-lengths in front of her last time, and no obvious reason why she’ll close that gap.

Simple Verse

Run some good races at 2-miles, but her best form is all at 14-furlongs, and not sure she’ll relish this step up in trip.

Sweet Selection

Improver who has won the Cesarawitch and the Sagaro Stakes on her last two starts, and should have no stamina worries. However, she may find one or two too good.

Summary

Harbour Law is an interesting 4-year-old having won last year’s St Leger, but the older brigade set a decent standard to aim at. Order Of St George could easily double up, but the value-bet may be Sheikhzayedroad, who finished third last year, and really seemed to get the hang of this marathon trips at the end of last season.

Sheikhzayedroad Each-Way @ 10/1 with Betsafe (plus a 100% deposit bonus)

Published Under: UK Horse Racing /

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