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2017 Alleged Stakes Statistics, Preview And Tip

Published on April 9, 2017 by Tim @ Betting Gods

The Alleged Stakes (16:05 Naas Racecourse) is named after the dual-winner of the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe, and was first run in 2003. It is a 10-furlong race open to 4-year-olds and older, and has been upgraded to a Group-3 Race from a Listed Race for 2017.


10-Year-Trends

– The draw hasn’t proved to be a massive advantage, with winners drawn from stalls 1 to 9
– Winners have been aged 4, 6 and 7, with 6 winners being 4-year-olds
– Winners had been off the racetrack between 16 and 547 days
– SPs ranged from 8/15 to 12/1
– Dermot Weld and Pat Smullen, and Jim Bolger and Kevin Manning, have teamed-up to each win 2 of the last 6 renewals


Runner-By-Runner Guide

Air Pilot

Has won a group-3 at Chantilly in France, but was well-beaten in another group-3 and a group-2 at York on his last two runs. Overall form suggests he won’t be winning this, and older than recent winners at the age of 8.

Stellar Mass

Another group-3 winner, and he hails from the same trainer/jockey combination who have won 2 of the last 4 renewals. However, his wins have all come over 12-furlongs or more, and likely he’ll find some of these have more pace over this trip.

Success Days

10-furlongs on ground with a bit of cut in it are ideal, and he’s 3 from 4 in Group-3 races, with his one defeat coming at the hands of last year’s Arc winner Found. Stable had 3 winners and a second from 5 runners on Saturday, and looks sure to be wound-up for this.

US Army Ranger

His second in the English Derby looks the best piece of form on offer, but he was beaten 4-lengths by Success Days in August over this trip, when receiving 5lb. He is open to the most improvement of the runners, but has to race off level-weights with Success Days here.

Lustrous Light

Another open to improvement, but will need to having been well-beaten by Stellar last season. Did win his maiden at 10-furlongs, and yard started the season well.

Sea Swift

Course winner last year, but not seemingly up to this class when tried in a group-3 later. Over a stone to find on ratings, but does hail from the yard of Dermot Weld.


2017 Alleged Stakes Summary

There’s every chance that US Army Ranger will be a better horse as a 4-year-old, but Success Days seemed to beat him fair-and-square when they met last year on similar ground, and he’s 5lb better off this time.


2017 Alleged Stakes Tip

Success Days – Win @ 3/1 Bet365, Ladbrokes, PaddyPower

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