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2,000 Guineas Guide And Predictions

Published on May 6, 2017 by Tim @ Betting Gods

The 2,000 Guineas (Saturday 15.35 @ Newmarket) is traditionally the first classic of the season, and it is open to 3-year-old colts. It is a Group-1 Race, one that takes its name from the prize the very first winner won in 1809. This year the winner will win £283,350.


10-Year-Trends

Winners were drawn in stalls 1 to 16, with 3 coming from stall-1

Only 5 winners had won last time out

7 winners won it on their seasonal debut

SPs ranged from 1/2 to 40/1

5 of the last 10 winners were trained in Ireland

Aidan O’Brien trained 3 of the last 10 winners

Ryan Moore is the only jockey riding in the race to previously have ridden a 2,000 Guineas winner


Runner-By-Runner Guide

Al Wukair

Trainer Andre Fabre was in terrific form last weekend in France, and he’s always considered this horse to be more of an English 2,000 Guineas horse rather than a French 2,000 Guineas horse. Fabre also rarely aims his horses too high, and has won two previous renewals with Zafonic in 1993 and Pennekamp in 1995. Has showed a great turn-of-foot in his races so far. Respected.

Barney Roy

Looked a talented individual when winning over a mile on his debut, and picked-up impressively late-on to win the Greenham over 7-furlongs. Two of the last 6 winners had run in the Greenham, and he should relish the return to a mile.

Churchill

Bred along the same lines of 2015 winner Gleneagles, being by Galileo out of a mare with plenty of speed in her pedigree. Also comes into the race as the best two-year-old from last season, and has reportedly been tearing-up the gallops in Ireland.

Dream Castle

One of the first-crop of Frankel-sired colts to run in the 2,000 Guineas winners, but was only second behind Barney Roy in the Greenham. That didn’t stop Night Of Thunder winning a Guineas, but the impression was that Barney Roy would benefit for the step-up to a mile more.

Eminent

The second of the Frankels, and this one looks to have better credentials than Dream Castle. Won both his starts over course and distance, so stamina is assured, and his trainer is very hopeful after seeing him improve massively since his Craven victory.

Lancaster Bomber

Sent-off at big-prices when finishing behind Churchill three-times last season, and a similar fate is the most-likely scenario.

Larchmont Lad

Disappointed in the Craven Stakes when only fifth, but seemed unfavourably drawn there. Still hard to see him reversing form with the winner Eminent though, unless the first-time booking of William Buick brings about improvement.

Law And Order

Finished fifth behind Larchmont Lad when they met last season, and hard to see him beating that one. Let alone the big-guns.

Spirit Of Valour

Has no form in the book that entitles him to be winning here, and a possible pacemaker for stablemate Churchill.

Top Score

Third Godolphin representative, but looks more of a pacemaker for Barney Roy.


Summary

Aidan O’Brien and Godolphin have entered likely pacemakers, and they be able to run the finishing kick out of French-challenger Al Wukair. The pacemakers are there to ensure a decent pace for Churchill and Barney Roy, however it should also suit Eminent, who looks an each-way play against the front-two in the market.

Eminent, Each-Way @ 15/2 PaddyPower, Boylesports

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