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1,000 Guineas Preview | Betting Gods
1,000 Guineas Preview

1,000 Guineas Preview

Published on 01/05/16

The 1,000 Guineas (Sunday 3.40) is the first fillies classic of the season and, after only carrying half the prize-money of the 2,000 Guineas for much of its life – equality came to fruition in 2001 when the prize-money for both the colts and the fillies became the same.

1,000 Guineas

No trainer has won it twice in the last 10 years, though French Trainers have won 3 of those renewals. Meanwhile, Ryan Moore is the only jockey to have ridden 2 winners in that time.

16 runners are set to go to post this year.

Alice Springs

Jockey bookings suggest she’s only Aidan O’Brien’s third string, yet she ran a blinder to be second at the Breeders Cup. Also won a valuable sales-race over 7-furlongs at Newmarket, though might prefer quicker ground.

Aljazzi

Soft ground maiden winner on debut, but only fourth in the Fred Darling.

Ballydoyle

Named like her stable expected her to be a superstar, and may well go close here, though bred to be a more likely Oaks winner. Ryan Moore also rides Minding, suggesting Ballydoyle is only the second string.

Blue Bayou

Group-3 winner who got to within ½-length of Lumiere. Could have a good season, but stable very quiet.

Epsom Icon

Listed winner, but over 20lb to find with Minding.

Fireglow

Seemed to relish racing at a mile on reappearance, but has never been spoken about as being in the same league as stablemate Lumiere.

Illuminate

Trainer said she was good, and she duly won her first three races before just getting beat by Lumiere. Flopped in the Breeders Cup on last start though, and stamina for a mile yet to be proven.

Jet Setting

Did beat Alice Springs on her last run, but the heavy ground played to her strengths that day, and may find things happening a bit fast here.

Lumiere

Mark Johnston won this with Attraction, and this one has been talked-up since before she set foot on a racecourse. Has to prove her stamina for a mile, but expected to go close.

Midweek

French trainer has been victorious here before, but this one has much more to prove, and may be suited by further in due course. Not dismissed though.

Minding

Her demolition job in the Fillies Mile at the end of last season made her look very special. That was the first time Ryan Moore had ridden her, and he’s chosen her over both Ballydoyle and Alice Springs, who he has also ridden.

Mix And Mingle

Fair sort, but done nothing to suggest she’ll win this.

Nathra

Won 3 of her 4 starts but, whilst she’s a very good horse in her own right, the fact she was beaten 4½ lengths into second by Minding when they met only enhances the favourite’s credentials.

Robanne

Third in two group-3s after winning debut, but it’s a big ask for her to find the required improvement even if the extra furlong suits.

Sharja Queen

Won her maiden, but has 6-lengths to make up with Lumiere on her other run.

Turrett Rocks

Interesting that she’s won both starts at a mile, and solid second to Ballydoyle over 7-furlongs on final start. Straight mile here could suit her well, but stable form a worry.

Summary

Aidan O’Brien isn’t as prolific a winner of this race as he is of the 2,000 Guineas, but it was hard not to be impressed by Minding’s win in the Fillies Mile over course and distance last year. Ryan Moore was clearly impressed too, as he prefers her to two other stablemates who could easily hit the frame. Lumiere looks the most likely danger to the O’Brien monopoly, but her stamina does have to be taken on trust, whilst bold shows from Turrett Rocks and Midweek aren’t ruled out.

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